Points
62Points expected by the market
57.70Gap
+4.30Yield
+1.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.22 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +4.28 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 27 | +0.47 | −6.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +0.76 | +7.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.22 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +4.28 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.03 | −8.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.66 | +97.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | +1.50 | −6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −1.90 | −32.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Scunthorpe · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.48 |
| M2 | Southend · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.22 |
| M3 | Truro · Home19 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.98 |
| M4 | Gateshead · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.36 |
| M5 | Brackley Town · Home25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.89 |
| M6 | Braintree Town · Away2 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.35 |
| M7 | Eastleigh · Home6 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.04 |
| M8 | York · Away9 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.73 |
| M9 | Sutton · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.07 |
| M10 | Yeovil · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.44 |
| M11 | Wealdstone · Home24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.79 |
| M12 | Hartlepool · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.68 |
| M13 | Altrincham · Away1 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +3.57 |
| M14 | Morecambe · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.22 | +2.35 |
| M15 | Aldershot · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.97 |
| M16 | Boston United · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.83 | +2.15 |
| M17 | Woking · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +0.47 |
| M18 | Forest Green · Away11 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.13 |
| M19 | Boreham Wood · Away15 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.34 | +2.21 |
| M20 | Rochdale · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.35 |
| M21 | Carlisle · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +0.67 |
| M22 | Scunthorpe · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.35 |
| M23 | Southend · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +1.69 |
| M24 | Solihull · Away26 Dec 2025 | L 1-7 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.61 |
| M25 | Halifax · Home30 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.70 |
| M26 | Gateshead · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.44 |
| M27 | Truro · Away17 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.25 |
| M28 | Sutton · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.17 |
| M29 | Hartlepool · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.50 |
| M30 | Morecambe · Away10 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.75 |
| M31 | Aldershot · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.02 |
| M32 | Boston United · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.03 |
| M33 | Altrincham · Home24 Feb 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.56 |
| M34 | Boreham Wood · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.08 | +1.52 |
| M35 | Yeovil · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.20 |
| M36 | Woking · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.92 |
| M37 | Wealdstone · Away10 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.05 |
| M38 | Carlisle · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.19 |
| M39 | Rochdale · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −0.74 |
| M40 | Forest Green · Home25 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +1.18 |
| M41 | Brackley Town · Away28 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.71 |
| M42 | Solihull · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.14 |
| M43 | Halifax · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +4.21 |
| M44 | York · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | +3.61 |
| M45 | Eastleigh · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +3.30 |
| M46 | Braintree Town · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.30 |
| Total | 62 | +4.30 | |||