Points
34Points expected by the market
50.44Gap
−16.44Yield
−46.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.10 | −9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 12 | −10.57 | −67.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 13 | −3.76 | −40.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.10 | −9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.07 | −41.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.17 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 2 | −7.49 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | −0.60 | −16.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wealdstone · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | York · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.13 |
| M3 | Tamworth · Away19 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −3.12 |
| M4 | Southend · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.92 |
| M5 | Boreham Wood · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.81 |
| M6 | Boston United · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −3.40 |
| M7 | Aldershot · Home3 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −3.69 |
| M8 | Carlisle · Away6 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.29 |
| M9 | Rochdale · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −5.22 |
| M10 | Scunthorpe · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.89 | −6.11 |
| M11 | Brackley Town · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.94 |
| M12 | Morecambe · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −5.48 |
| M13 | Eastleigh · Home30 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −7.03 |
| M14 | Woking · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −7.10 |
| M15 | Halifax · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −5.27 |
| M16 | Gateshead · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | −5.52 |
| M17 | Solihull · Away5 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.29 | −6.81 |
| M18 | Altrincham · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −8.27 |
| M19 | Braintree Town · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −9.53 |
| M20 | Sutton · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −11.05 |
| M21 | Hartlepool · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −11.83 |
| M22 | Wealdstone · Home16 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −10.09 |
| M23 | York · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.36 | −10.45 |
| M24 | Yeovil · Home26 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −9.00 |
| M25 | Forest Green · Away30 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.52 | −8.48 |
| M26 | Tamworth · Home17 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −9.00 |
| M27 | Brackley Town · Home20 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.45 | −9.45 |
| M28 | Rochdale · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −10.05 |
| M29 | Morecambe · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −8.08 |
| M30 | Woking · Home10 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −9.46 |
| M31 | Halifax · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −10.39 |
| M32 | Gateshead · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −12.00 |
| M33 | Eastleigh · Away25 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −13.16 |
| M34 | Braintree Town · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −14.90 |
| M35 | Southend · Away3 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | −14.42 |
| M36 | Altrincham · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −15.47 |
| M37 | Hartlepool · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −16.65 |
| M38 | Scunthorpe · Home17 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −17.69 |
| M39 | Sutton · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −15.49 |
| M40 | Solihull · Home25 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −15.80 |
| M41 | Boreham Wood · Home28 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | −15.60 |
| M42 | Yeovil · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −16.74 |
| M43 | Forest Green · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −16.64 |
| M44 | Boston United · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −17.62 |
| M45 | Carlisle · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −18.52 |
| M46 | Aldershot · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −16.44 |
| Total | 34 | −16.44 | |||