Points
56Points expected by the market
56.86Gap
−0.86Yield
−17.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | +0.21 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 32 | +2.21 | −12.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −3.29 | −38.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.51 | −2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +6.06 | +34.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.52 | +1.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.30 | +2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −3.85 | −55.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 3 | −3.81 | −55.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Truro · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Halifax · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.11 |
| M3 | Woking · Away19 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +4.93 |
| M4 | Carlisle · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +3.77 |
| M5 | Boston United · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.51 |
| M6 | Rochdale · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.44 |
| M7 | Southend · Home2 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.07 | +3.50 |
| M8 | Scunthorpe · Away6 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +2.56 |
| M9 | Gateshead · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | +1.72 |
| M10 | Morecambe · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.01 |
| M11 | Tamworth · Away24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.08 |
| M12 | Eastleigh · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.58 |
| M13 | Brackley Town · Away1 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +1.46 |
| M14 | Altrincham · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.97 |
| M15 | York · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.54 | +0.44 |
| M16 | Sutton · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.73 |
| M17 | Yeovil · Away4 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.32 |
| M18 | Braintree Town · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +4.56 |
| M19 | Hartlepool · Away15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +4.42 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +4.49 |
| M21 | Solihull · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +4.29 |
| M22 | Truro · Away16 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +2.84 |
| M23 | Halifax · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +2.74 |
| M24 | Boreham Wood · Home26 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.88 | +1.86 |
| M25 | Aldershot · Away30 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.83 |
| M26 | Carlisle · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +0.26 |
| M27 | Woking · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.06 |
| M28 | Eastleigh · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.81 |
| M29 | Altrincham · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.64 |
| M30 | York · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −0.09 |
| M31 | Sutton · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.31 |
| M32 | Brackley Town · Home24 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.11 |
| M33 | Morecambe · Home3 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.56 |
| M34 | Braintree Town · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.15 |
| M35 | Tamworth · Home10 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.24 |
| M36 | Solihull · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.74 |
| M37 | Gateshead · Away17 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.37 |
| M38 | Forest Green · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.58 |
| M39 | Yeovil · Home25 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.18 |
| M40 | Hartlepool · Home31 Mar 2026 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.46 |
| M41 | Boreham Wood · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.76 | −0.30 |
| M42 | Aldershot · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.31 |
| M43 | Rochdale · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | +0.79 |
| M44 | Boston United · Home14 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +0.23 |
| M45 | Scunthorpe · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.14 |
| M46 | Southend · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.86 |
| Total | 56 | −0.86 | |||