Points
63Points expected by the market
58.16Gap
+4.84Yield
−6.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 25 | −0.01 | −20.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 26 | +5.44 | +36.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 12 | −0.58 | −38.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | +0.67 | −14.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.37 | −40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.57 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 23 | +7.80 | +61.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | −0.01 | −7.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Carlisle · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.14 |
| M2 | Scunthorpe · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.16 |
| M3 | Wealdstone · Home19 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −3.71 |
| M4 | Hartlepool · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −4.61 |
| M5 | York · Home25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −4.29 |
| M6 | Morecambe · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.59 |
| M7 | Halifax · Away3 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.57 |
| M8 | Gateshead · Home6 Sep 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.14 |
| M9 | Yeovil · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.32 |
| M10 | Forest Green · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.25 |
| M11 | Sutton · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −3.82 |
| M12 | Boreham Wood · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −4.64 |
| M13 | Solihull · Away30 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −2.93 |
| M14 | Truro · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −3.58 |
| M15 | Altrincham · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −1.63 |
| M16 | Rochdale · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.61 |
| M17 | Southend · Home5 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −1.56 |
| M18 | Tamworth · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +0.39 |
| M19 | Boston United · Home15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.27 |
| M20 | Aldershot · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.42 |
| M21 | Brackley Town · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.80 |
| M22 | Carlisle · Away10 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.30 | +5.10 |
| M23 | Scunthorpe · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +3.78 |
| M24 | Eastleigh · Away26 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +3.46 |
| M25 | Braintree Town · Home30 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | +1.64 |
| M26 | Hartlepool · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +3.21 |
| M27 | Wealdstone · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +1.69 |
| M28 | Forest Green · Away3 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.04 |
| M29 | Truro · Away10 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.72 |
| M30 | Sutton · Away17 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.49 |
| M31 | Rochdale · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +0.89 |
| M32 | Boston United · Away3 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.81 |
| M33 | Tamworth · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.21 |
| M34 | Boreham Wood · Home10 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | +2.18 |
| M35 | Brackley Town · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.89 |
| M36 | Yeovil · Home17 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +5.20 |
| M37 | Aldershot · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.38 | +6.58 |
| M38 | Southend · Away25 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | +6.78 |
| M39 | York · Away28 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | +6.28 |
| M40 | Altrincham · Home31 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +5.48 |
| M41 | Eastleigh · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.80 | +4.68 |
| M42 | Braintree Town · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | +4.00 |
| M43 | Morecambe · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.24 |
| M44 | Solihull · Home14 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +4.62 |
| M45 | Gateshead · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +6.31 |
| M46 | Halifax · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +4.84 |
| Total | 63 | +4.84 | |||