Points
108Points expected by the market
95.14Gap
+12.86Yield
+3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 27 | 69 | +6.83 | +4.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 33 | +5.54 | +14.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.49 | −44.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 44 | +3.24 | −0.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.18 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 25 | +3.59 | +13.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 22 | +5.36 | +28.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.49 | −44.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sutton · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.10 | −1.10 |
| M2 | Truro · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −0.01 |
| M3 | Southend · Away20 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.30 |
| M4 | Woking · Away25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −1.40 |
| M5 | Yeovil · Away6 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −0.25 |
| M6 | Tamworth · Home9 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.65 |
| M7 | Braintree Town · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.67 |
| M8 | Solihull · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.29 | −0.62 |
| M9 | Carlisle · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.69 |
| M10 | Forest Green · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.43 |
| M11 | Scunthorpe · Home1 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.99 | −1.56 |
| M12 | Hartlepool · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.32 |
| M13 | Wealdstone · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +0.39 |
| M14 | Boreham Wood · Home21 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.40 |
| M15 | Halifax · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −1.24 |
| M16 | Gateshead · Home5 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | −0.61 |
| M17 | Eastleigh · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.34 |
| M18 | Rochdale · Home11 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.70 |
| M19 | Morecambe · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.53 | +2.23 |
| M20 | Brackley Town · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.84 | +3.07 |
| M21 | Aldershot · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +3.64 |
| M22 | Truro · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +4.13 |
| M23 | Boston United · Home26 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.41 | +2.72 |
| M24 | Altrincham · Away30 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +3.63 |
| M25 | Sutton · Away10 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +4.55 |
| M26 | Southend · Home17 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +3.69 |
| M27 | Carlisle · Away21 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.18 |
| M28 | Braintree Town · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +5.66 |
| M29 | Solihull · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +6.78 |
| M30 | Forest Green · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +7.93 |
| M31 | Hartlepool · Home11 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.62 | +8.54 |
| M32 | Wealdstone · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +9.49 |
| M33 | Halifax · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +10.16 |
| M34 | Scunthorpe · Away24 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +11.34 |
| M35 | Morecambe · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +12.08 |
| M36 | Boreham Wood · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.58 | +10.50 |
| M37 | Eastleigh · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +11.00 |
| M38 | Aldershot · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +11.99 |
| M39 | Brackley Town · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +12.47 |
| M40 | Gateshead · Away24 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.30 | +10.17 |
| M41 | Woking · Home28 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +10.84 |
| M42 | Boston United · Away3 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +11.74 |
| M43 | Altrincham · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +12.20 |
| M44 | Tamworth · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +13.00 |
| M45 | Yeovil · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.32 | +13.31 |
| M46 | Rochdale · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +12.86 |
| Total | 108 | +12.86 | |||