Points
23Points expected by the market
19.75Gap
+3.25Yield
+22.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.83 | −23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 15 | +5.70 | +89.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −2.29 | −57.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.22 | +26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.46 | +111.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 12 | +5.48 | +115.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wealdstone · Home8 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.67 |
| M2 | Tamworth · Away15 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.09 |
| M3 | Woking · Away22 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.30 |
| M4 | Forest Green · Home28 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.37 |
| M5 | Solihull · Away31 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.83 |
| M6 | Worthing · Home5 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +2.02 |
| M7 | Yeovil · Away12 Sep 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.61 |
| M8 | Harrogate · Away15 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +5.50 |
| M9 | Altrincham · Home19 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | +3.50 |
| M10 | Boston United · Away26 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.13 |
| M11 | Carlisle · Home29 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +3.68 |
| M12 | Southend · Away3 Oct 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.68 |
| M13 | Scunthorpe · Home10 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.86 |
| M14 | Boreham Wood · Away24 Oct 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | +3.25 |
| Total | 23 | +3.25 | |||