Points
56Points expected by the market
59.92Gap
−3.92Yield
−21.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 17 | +1.47 | +0.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 19 | −4.48 | −41.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.50 | −10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.41 | −24.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 17 | +1.47 | +0.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.02 | −6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.56 | −34.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.54 | +126.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.50 | −72.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.06 | +1.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −1.95 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newcastle · Away11 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.41 |
| M2 | Burnley · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +2.10 |
| M3 | Liverpool · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.46 |
| M4 | Tottenham · Home1 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.07 |
| M5 | Watford · Away15 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | +0.28 |
| M6 | Aston Villa · Home22 Sep 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.78 | +1.06 |
| M7 | Manchester United · Away30 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.89 |
| M8 | Bournemouth · Home6 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +1.60 |
| M9 | Sheffield United · Away21 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.07 |
| M10 | Crystal Palace · Home27 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.16 | −1.23 |
| M11 | Wolverhampton · Home2 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −2.12 |
| M12 | Leicester · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.12 |
| M13 | Southampton · Home23 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.17 | −4.30 |
| M14 | Norwich · Away1 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | −5.21 |
| M15 | Brighton · Home5 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −7.19 |
| M16 | West Ham · Away9 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −5.92 |
| M17 | Manchester City · Home15 Dec 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −6.51 |
| M18 | Everton · Away21 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −6.65 |
| M19 | Bournemouth · Away26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −7.43 |
| M20 | Chelsea · Home29 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −8.67 |
| M21 | Manchester United · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −7.02 |
| M22 | Crystal Palace · Away11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −7.90 |
| M23 | Sheffield United · Home18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −8.62 |
| M24 | Chelsea · Away21 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | −8.47 |
| M25 | Burnley · Away2 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −9.22 |
| M26 | Newcastle · Home16 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −8.42 |
| M27 | Everton · Home23 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.29 | −7.13 |
| M28 | West Ham · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −6.11 |
| M29 | Manchester City · Away17 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −6.56 |
| M30 | Brighton · Away20 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −8.10 |
| M31 | Southampton · Away25 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −6.47 |
| M32 | Norwich · Home1 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −5.66 |
| M33 | Wolverhampton · Away4 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −3.84 |
| M34 | Leicester · Home7 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −4.43 |
| M35 | Tottenham · Away12 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.81 |
| M36 | Liverpool · Home15 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | −3.67 |
| M37 | Aston Villa · Away21 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −5.24 |
| M38 | Watford · Home26 Jul 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.32 | −3.92 |
| Total | 56 | −3.92 | |||