Points
35Points expected by the market
37.24Gap
−2.24Yield
−33.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 27 | +5.72 | +19.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 5 | −9.37 | −80.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +5.82 | +47.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 0 | −4.61 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.10 | −42.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 5 | −4.76 | −70.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tottenham · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −0.51 |
| M2 | Bournemouth · Home17 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.05 |
| M3 | Everton · Home23 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.29 |
| M4 | Crystal Palace · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.45 |
| M5 | West Ham · Home16 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −1.78 |
| M6 | Arsenal · Away22 Sep 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −2.37 |
| M7 | Burnley · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −2.90 |
| M8 | Norwich · Away5 Oct 2019 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −1.17 |
| M9 | Brighton · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.34 |
| M10 | Manchester City · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.17 | +0.17 |
| M11 | Liverpool · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −0.30 |
| M12 | Wolverhampton · Away10 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.09 |
| M13 | Newcastle · Home25 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.31 |
| M14 | Manchester United · Away1 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.70 |
| M15 | Chelsea · Away4 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.19 |
| M16 | Leicester · Home8 Dec 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.64 |
| M17 | Sheffield United · Away14 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −1.52 |
| M18 | Southampton · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.94 |
| M19 | Norwich · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.51 |
| M20 | Watford · Away28 Dec 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.41 |
| M21 | Burnley · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −0.38 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Home12 Jan 2020 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.29 | −0.67 |
| M23 | Brighton · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.50 |
| M24 | Watford · Home21 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.29 |
| M25 | Bournemouth · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.18 |
| M26 | Tottenham · Home16 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.82 |
| M27 | Southampton · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.67 |
| M28 | Leicester · Away9 Mar 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −2.35 |
| M29 | Sheffield United · Home17 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −2.52 |
| M30 | Chelsea · Home21 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −3.14 |
| M31 | Newcastle · Away24 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −3.35 |
| M32 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.27 |
| M33 | Liverpool · Away5 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.34 | −4.61 |
| M34 | Manchester United · Home9 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −5.10 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Home12 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −3.60 |
| M36 | Everton · Away16 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −3.70 |
| M37 | Arsenal · Home21 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.88 |
| M38 | West Ham · Away26 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.24 |
| Total | 35 | −2.24 | |||