Points
34Points expected by the market
39.42Gap
−5.42Yield
+1.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.83 | −45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 17 | −3.40 | −2.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 12 | −0.19 | +15.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.83 | −45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.88 | −22.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +3.33 | +21.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | +0.48 | +17.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 3 | −3.52 | +12.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sheffield United · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.73 |
| M2 | Aston Villa · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.08 |
| M3 | Manchester City · Home25 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.29 | +0.79 |
| M4 | Leicester · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.01 |
| M5 | Everton · Home15 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.85 |
| M6 | Southampton · Away20 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +3.71 |
| M7 | West Ham · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | +3.24 |
| M8 | Arsenal · Away6 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | +2.69 |
| M9 | Norwich · Home19 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.87 | +1.82 |
| M10 | Watford · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.63 |
| M11 | Manchester United · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +3.56 |
| M12 | Newcastle · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.25 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.00 |
| M14 | Tottenham · Away30 Nov 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.49 | +0.50 |
| M15 | Crystal Palace · Away3 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.64 |
| M16 | Liverpool · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −1.30 |
| M17 | Chelsea · Away14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.63 | +1.33 |
| M18 | Burnley · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.16 |
| M19 | Arsenal · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.15 |
| M20 | Brighton · Away28 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.05 |
| M21 | West Ham · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.01 |
| M22 | Watford · Home12 Jan 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.42 |
| M23 | Norwich · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.60 |
| M24 | Brighton · Home21 Jan 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.89 |
| M25 | Aston Villa · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.50 |
| M26 | Sheffield United · Away9 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.31 |
| M27 | Burnley · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.45 |
| M28 | Chelsea · Home29 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.40 |
| M29 | Liverpool · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −3.77 |
| M30 | Crystal Palace · Home20 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.14 |
| M31 | Wolverhampton · Away24 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.82 |
| M32 | Newcastle · Home1 Jul 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.62 | −7.44 |
| M33 | Manchester United · Away4 Jul 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.32 | −7.75 |
| M34 | Tottenham · Home9 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −7.61 |
| M35 | Leicester · Home12 Jul 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −5.45 |
| M36 | Manchester City · Away15 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.28 | −5.73 |
| M37 | Southampton · Home19 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −7.17 |
| M38 | Everton · Away26 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −5.42 |
| Total | 34 | −5.42 | |||