Points
41Points expected by the market
43.94Gap
−2.94Yield
−25.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.79 | −43.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −1.78 | −27.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 13 | +0.64 | −17.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.79 | −43.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −1.18 | −15.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.60 | −18.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.60 | −38.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | +1.24 | −17.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Watford · Away10 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.99 |
| M2 | West Ham · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +1.41 |
| M3 | Southampton · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.11 |
| M4 | Manchester City · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.18 | −0.28 |
| M5 | Burnley · Home14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.92 |
| M6 | Newcastle · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.12 |
| M7 | Chelsea · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | −1.69 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +0.47 |
| M9 | Aston Villa · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.76 |
| M10 | Everton · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.87 |
| M11 | Norwich · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +1.84 |
| M12 | Manchester United · Away10 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +1.12 |
| M13 | Leicester · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.09 |
| M14 | Liverpool · Away30 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −0.24 |
| M15 | Arsenal · Away5 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | +1.96 |
| M16 | Wolverhampton · Home8 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.57 |
| M17 | Crystal Palace · Away16 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.19 |
| M18 | Sheffield United · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −0.42 |
| M19 | Tottenham · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −1.09 |
| M20 | Bournemouth · Home28 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.06 |
| M21 | Chelsea · Home1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.06 |
| M22 | Everton · Away11 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.92 |
| M23 | Aston Villa · Home18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −1.86 |
| M24 | Bournemouth · Away21 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.28 |
| M25 | West Ham · Away1 Feb 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.29 | −3.56 |
| M26 | Watford · Home8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −4.10 |
| M27 | Sheffield United · Away22 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −4.04 |
| M28 | Crystal Palace · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −5.65 |
| M29 | Wolverhampton · Away7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −5.46 |
| M30 | Arsenal · Home20 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.64 |
| M31 | Leicester · Away23 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −3.37 |
| M32 | Manchester United · Home30 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.65 | −4.03 |
| M33 | Norwich · Away4 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −2.63 |
| M34 | Liverpool · Home8 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −3.34 |
| M35 | Manchester City · Home11 Jul 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.38 | −3.72 |
| M36 | Southampton · Away16 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.89 |
| M37 | Newcastle · Home20 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −4.61 |
| M38 | Burnley · Away26 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −2.94 |
| Total | 41 | −2.94 | |||