Points
54Points expected by the market
39.57Gap
+14.43Yield
+38.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.55 | +23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 22 | +7.45 | +53.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 23 | +6.43 | +34.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.55 | +23.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.87 | +34.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.39 | −1.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 11 | +4.58 | +76.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 15 | +5.05 | +54.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southampton · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.61 |
| M2 | Arsenal · Away17 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.51 | +1.10 |
| M3 | Wolverhampton · Away25 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | +1.26 |
| M4 | Liverpool · Home31 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +0.76 |
| M5 | Brighton · Away14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.68 |
| M6 | Norwich · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.00 |
| M7 | Aston Villa · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.81 |
| M8 | Everton · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +3.61 |
| M9 | Leicester · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +2.97 |
| M10 | Chelsea · Home26 Oct 2019 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | +2.16 |
| M11 | Sheffield United · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.03 |
| M12 | West Ham · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.43 |
| M13 | Watford · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +4.30 |
| M14 | Crystal Palace · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | +2.61 |
| M15 | Manchester City · Home3 Dec 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.40 | +2.21 |
| M16 | Tottenham · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.58 | +1.63 |
| M17 | Newcastle · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.90 |
| M18 | Bournemouth · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.68 |
| M19 | Everton · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | +3.86 |
| M20 | Manchester United · Home28 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.91 |
| M21 | Aston Villa · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | +1.16 |
| M22 | Chelsea · Away11 Jan 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | +0.68 |
| M23 | Leicester · Home19 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +2.74 |
| M24 | Manchester United · Away22 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.42 | +5.16 |
| M25 | Arsenal · Home2 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +5.17 |
| M26 | Southampton · Away15 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | +7.36 |
| M27 | Bournemouth · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +8.79 |
| M28 | Newcastle · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +8.44 |
| M29 | Tottenham · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +8.10 |
| M30 | Manchester City · Away22 Jun 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.24 | +7.85 |
| M31 | Watford · Home25 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +9.75 |
| M32 | Crystal Palace · Away29 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +11.78 |
| M33 | Sheffield United · Home5 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +11.54 |
| M34 | West Ham · Away8 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.09 | +13.63 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Away11 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.64 | +14.27 |
| M36 | Wolverhampton · Home15 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +14.35 |
| M37 | Norwich · Away18 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +15.82 |
| M38 | Brighton · Home26 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +14.43 |
| Total | 54 | +14.43 | |||