Points
66Points expected by the market
70.31Gap
−4.31Yield
−3.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 28 | −4.39 | −12.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 25 | −2.74 | −16.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +3.31 | +54.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.50 | +5.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 22 | −3.86 | −15.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.05 | −5.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.07 | +320.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.53 | −2.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.78 | −23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.46 | +93.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.57 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester United · Away11 Aug 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.01 |
| M2 | Leicester · Home18 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −1.93 |
| M3 | Norwich · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.74 |
| M4 | Sheffield United · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.25 | −1.99 |
| M5 | Wolverhampton · Away14 Sep 2019 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.48 |
| M6 | Liverpool · Home22 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.63 |
| M7 | Brighton · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −0.85 |
| M8 | Southampton · Away6 Oct 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +0.23 |
| M9 | Newcastle · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +0.81 |
| M10 | Burnley · Away26 Oct 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +1.86 |
| M11 | Watford · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +2.87 |
| M12 | Crystal Palace · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +3.65 |
| M13 | Manchester City · Away23 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.58 | +3.07 |
| M14 | West Ham · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.39 | +0.68 |
| M15 | Aston Villa · Home4 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +1.36 |
| M16 | Everton · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −0.25 |
| M17 | Bournemouth · Home14 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.49 | −2.74 |
| M18 | Tottenham · Away22 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.97 |
| M19 | Southampton · Home26 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.26 | −3.23 |
| M20 | Arsenal · Away29 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.73 |
| M21 | Brighton · Away1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −2.48 |
| M22 | Burnley · Home11 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.67 | −1.82 |
| M23 | Newcastle · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.04 | −3.86 |
| M24 | Arsenal · Home21 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.90 | −4.76 |
| M25 | Leicester · Away1 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −5.09 |
| M26 | Manchester United · Home17 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −6.82 |
| M27 | Tottenham · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −5.63 |
| M28 | Bournemouth · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | −6.42 |
| M29 | Everton · Home8 Mar 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −5.21 |
| M30 | Aston Villa · Away21 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −4.38 |
| M31 | Manchester City · Home25 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | −2.31 |
| M32 | West Ham · Away1 Jul 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.18 | −4.49 |
| M33 | Watford · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −3.79 |
| M34 | Crystal Palace · Away7 Jul 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.82 | −2.97 |
| M35 | Sheffield United · Away11 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.91 | −4.88 |
| M36 | Norwich · Home14 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.34 | −4.54 |
| M37 | Liverpool · Away22 Jul 2020 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.52 |
| M38 | Wolverhampton · Home26 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −4.31 |
| Total | 66 | −4.31 | |||