Points
43Points expected by the market
38.72Gap
+4.28Yield
−2.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.89 | +36.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | +0.11 | −17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 17 | +3.28 | +2.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.89 | +36.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.53 | +5.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −2.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.42 | −52.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 15 | +5.96 | +58.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Everton · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.13 |
| M2 | Sheffield United · Away18 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.39 |
| M3 | Manchester United · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.51 | +1.12 |
| M4 | Aston Villa · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.56 |
| M5 | Tottenham · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.57 | +1.99 |
| M6 | Wolverhampton · Home22 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +1.63 |
| M7 | Norwich · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.87 |
| M8 | West Ham · Away5 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.84 |
| M9 | Manchester City · Home19 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.37 | +4.47 |
| M10 | Arsenal · Away27 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.36 | +4.83 |
| M11 | Leicester · Home3 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +3.78 |
| M12 | Chelsea · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | +3.20 |
| M13 | Liverpool · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | +2.56 |
| M14 | Burnley · Away30 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.53 |
| M15 | Bournemouth · Home3 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +5.95 |
| M16 | Watford · Away7 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +5.71 |
| M17 | Brighton · Home16 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +5.38 |
| M18 | Newcastle · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +4.20 |
| M19 | West Ham · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +5.64 |
| M20 | Southampton · Away28 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +5.67 |
| M21 | Norwich · Away1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +5.46 |
| M22 | Arsenal · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +5.58 |
| M23 | Manchester City · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.82 | +6.40 |
| M24 | Southampton · Home21 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +5.06 |
| M25 | Sheffield United · Home1 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +3.81 |
| M26 | Everton · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | +3.07 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.44 |
| M28 | Brighton · Away29 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +6.36 |
| M29 | Watford · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +7.98 |
| M30 | Bournemouth · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +9.67 |
| M31 | Liverpool · Away24 Jun 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.41 | +9.26 |
| M32 | Burnley · Home29 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | +7.53 |
| M33 | Leicester · Away4 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | +6.79 |
| M34 | Chelsea · Home7 Jul 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +6.19 |
| M35 | Aston Villa · Away12 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +4.98 |
| M36 | Manchester United · Home16 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.51 | +4.47 |
| M37 | Wolverhampton · Away20 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | +3.91 |
| M38 | Tottenham · Home26 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | +4.28 |
| Total | 43 | +4.28 | |||