Points
49Points expected by the market
53.29Gap
−4.29Yield
−20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 25 | +3.20 | +7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | −1.20 | −7.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −3.98 | −62.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.01 | +0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.24 | +17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.25 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.19 | +87.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −2.44 | −20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.73 | −53.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crystal Palace · Away10 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.58 |
| M2 | Watford · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.58 |
| M3 | Aston Villa · Away23 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −0.90 |
| M4 | Wolverhampton · Home1 Sep 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.41 |
| M5 | Bournemouth · Away15 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.17 |
| M6 | Sheffield United · Home21 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −3.08 |
| M7 | Manchester City · Home28 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −3.59 |
| M8 | Burnley · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.09 |
| M9 | West Ham · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −3.93 |
| M10 | Brighton · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −5.27 |
| M11 | Tottenham · Home3 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −5.70 |
| M12 | Southampton · Away9 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −4.21 |
| M13 | Norwich · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.31 | −6.51 |
| M14 | Leicester · Away1 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −7.26 |
| M15 | Liverpool · Away4 Dec 2019 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.74 | −8.00 |
| M16 | Chelsea · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −6.13 |
| M17 | Manchester United · Away15 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −5.92 |
| M18 | Arsenal · Home21 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −6.53 |
| M19 | Burnley · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −5.44 |
| M20 | Newcastle · Away28 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.98 |
| M21 | Manchester City · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −4.46 |
| M22 | Brighton · Home11 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −3.22 |
| M23 | West Ham · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −3.67 |
| M24 | Newcastle · Home21 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.15 | −4.82 |
| M25 | Watford · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.27 |
| M26 | Crystal Palace · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | −2.27 |
| M27 | Arsenal · Away23 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.30 |
| M28 | Manchester United · Home1 Mar 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.60 |
| M29 | Chelsea · Away8 Mar 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.55 |
| M30 | Liverpool · Home21 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −4.29 |
| M31 | Norwich · Away24 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −3.10 |
| M32 | Leicester · Home1 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −1.51 |
| M33 | Tottenham · Away6 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.53 |
| M34 | Southampton · Home9 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −3.18 |
| M35 | Wolverhampton · Away12 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −4.19 |
| M36 | Aston Villa · Home16 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −4.82 |
| M37 | Sheffield United · Away20 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −2.80 |
| M38 | Bournemouth · Home26 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −4.29 |
| Total | 49 | −4.29 | |||