Points
62Points expected by the market
60.57Gap
+1.43Yield
−10.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.07 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 38 | +3.97 | +17.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.44 | +1.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −5.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.07 | −5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 25 | +5.29 | +35.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.75 | −9.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −1.32 | −4.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +1.69 | +6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.20 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolverhampton · Home11 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.51 |
| M2 | Chelsea · Away18 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.34 |
| M3 | Sheffield United · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.15 |
| M4 | Bournemouth · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.18 |
| M5 | Manchester United · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.11 |
| M6 | Tottenham · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +2.77 |
| M7 | Newcastle · Home29 Sep 2019 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +3.65 |
| M8 | Liverpool · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.92 |
| M9 | Burnley · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +3.78 |
| M10 | Southampton · Away25 Oct 2019 | W 9-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.28 |
| M11 | Crystal Palace · Away3 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +6.60 |
| M12 | Arsenal · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +7.85 |
| M13 | Brighton · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +9.14 |
| M14 | Everton · Home1 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +10.13 |
| M15 | Watford · Home4 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +10.83 |
| M16 | Aston Villa · Away8 Dec 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +11.89 |
| M17 | Norwich · Home14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.47 | +10.42 |
| M18 | Manchester City · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | +9.85 |
| M19 | Liverpool · Home26 Dec 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.05 | +8.80 |
| M20 | West Ham · Away28 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +10.46 |
| M21 | Newcastle · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +11.64 |
| M22 | Southampton · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | +9.70 |
| M23 | Burnley · Away19 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +7.90 |
| M24 | West Ham · Home22 Jan 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +8.74 |
| M25 | Chelsea · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +8.33 |
| M26 | Wolverhampton · Away14 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +8.01 |
| M27 | Manchester City · Home22 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | +7.25 |
| M28 | Norwich · Away28 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | +5.45 |
| M29 | Aston Villa · Home9 Mar 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +6.34 |
| M30 | Watford · Away20 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +5.66 |
| M31 | Brighton · Home23 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.02 | +4.64 |
| M32 | Everton · Away1 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +3.35 |
| M33 | Crystal Palace · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.35 |
| M34 | Arsenal · Away7 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +4.21 |
| M35 | Bournemouth · Away12 Jul 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.90 | +2.31 |
| M36 | Sheffield United · Home16 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.67 |
| M37 | Tottenham · Away19 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.47 |
| M38 | Manchester United · Home26 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +1.43 |
| Total | 62 | +1.43 | |||