Points
99Points expected by the market
81.97Gap
+17.03Yield
+24.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | 61 | +8.49 | +18.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 35 | +7.94 | +33.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.66 | +169.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 43 | +6.44 | +18.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.17 | +70.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.66 | +169.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 18 | +2.05 | +16.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 26 | +4.77 | +24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Norwich · Home9 Aug 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.35 | +0.35 |
| M2 | Southampton · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +1.22 |
| M3 | Arsenal · Home24 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.06 |
| M4 | Burnley · Away31 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +2.75 |
| M5 | Newcastle · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +3.21 |
| M6 | Chelsea · Away22 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.62 |
| M7 | Sheffield United · Away28 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +5.31 |
| M8 | Leicester · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +6.26 |
| M9 | Manchester United · Away20 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +5.52 |
| M10 | Tottenham · Home27 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +6.37 |
| M11 | Aston Villa · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +6.99 |
| M12 | Manchester City · Home10 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +8.65 |
| M13 | Crystal Palace · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +9.50 |
| M14 | Brighton · Home30 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +9.97 |
| M15 | Everton · Home4 Dec 2019 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.98 | +10.94 |
| M16 | Bournemouth · Away7 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +11.81 |
| M17 | Watford · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +12.25 |
| M18 | Leicester · Away26 Dec 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +13.54 |
| M19 | Wolverhampton · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +14.11 |
| M20 | Sheffield United · Home2 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +14.70 |
| M21 | Tottenham · Away11 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +15.77 |
| M22 | Manchester United · Home19 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +16.58 |
| M23 | Wolverhampton · Away23 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +17.62 |
| M24 | West Ham · Away29 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +18.31 |
| M25 | Southampton · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +18.93 |
| M26 | Norwich · Away15 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +19.61 |
| M27 | West Ham · Home24 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.39 | +20.00 |
| M28 | Watford · Away29 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.16 | +17.85 |
| M29 | Bournemouth · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | +18.35 |
| M30 | Everton · Away21 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.02 | +17.33 |
| M31 | Crystal Palace · Home24 Jun 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +17.91 |
| M32 | Manchester City · Away2 Jul 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.06 | +16.84 |
| M33 | Aston Villa · Home5 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +17.31 |
| M34 | Brighton · Away8 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +18.25 |
| M35 | Burnley · Home11 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.50 | +16.76 |
| M36 | Arsenal · Away15 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +14.85 |
| M37 | Chelsea · Home22 Jul 2020 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.24 | +16.09 |
| M38 | Newcastle · Away26 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +17.03 |
| Total | 99 | +17.03 | |||