Points
81Points expected by the market
91.13Gap
−10.13Yield
−13.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 32 | 75 | −5.23 | −8.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −3.50 | −27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.40 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 18 | 44 | −2.19 | −8.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.32 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 31 | −3.05 | −9.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −4.82 | −60.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.40 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Ham · Away10 Aug 2019 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +0.56 |
| M2 | Tottenham · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.30 | −0.74 |
| M3 | Bournemouth · Away25 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.41 | −0.33 |
| M4 | Brighton · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.26 | −0.07 |
| M5 | Norwich · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.73 | −2.80 |
| M6 | Watford · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.30 | −2.50 |
| M7 | Everton · Away28 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −1.82 |
| M8 | Wolverhampton · Home6 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.64 | −4.46 |
| M9 | Crystal Palace · Away19 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.50 | −3.96 |
| M10 | Aston Villa · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.24 | −3.72 |
| M11 | Southampton · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.24 | −3.48 |
| M12 | Liverpool · Away10 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.88 |
| M13 | Chelsea · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −4.13 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Away30 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.51 | −5.64 |
| M15 | Burnley · Away3 Dec 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.54 | −5.10 |
| M16 | Manchester United · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.34 | −7.44 |
| M17 | Arsenal · Away15 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −6.68 |
| M18 | Leicester · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | −5.94 |
| M19 | Wolverhampton · Away27 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.22 | −8.16 |
| M20 | Sheffield United · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.51 | −7.65 |
| M21 | Everton · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | −7.00 |
| M22 | Aston Villa · Away12 Jan 2020 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.39 | −6.61 |
| M23 | Crystal Palace · Home18 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.74 | −8.34 |
| M24 | Sheffield United · Away21 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −7.59 |
| M25 | Tottenham · Away2 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.09 | −9.68 |
| M26 | West Ham · Home19 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.34 | −9.34 |
| M27 | Leicester · Away22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −8.37 |
| M28 | Manchester United · Away8 Mar 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −10.24 |
| M29 | Arsenal · Home17 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.60 | −9.63 |
| M30 | Burnley · Home22 Jun 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.35 | −9.28 |
| M31 | Chelsea · Away25 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | −11.11 |
| M32 | Liverpool · Home2 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −9.79 |
| M33 | Southampton · Away5 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.35 | −12.14 |
| M34 | Newcastle · Home8 Jul 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.30 | −11.84 |
| M35 | Brighton · Away11 Jul 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.53 | −11.31 |
| M36 | Bournemouth · Home15 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.38 | −10.93 |
| M37 | Watford · Away21 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | −10.30 |
| M38 | Norwich · Home26 Jul 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.17 | −10.13 |
| Total | 81 | −10.13 | |||