Points
66Points expected by the market
67.03Gap
−1.03Yield
+12.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 21 | −4.71 | −28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | +0.91 | −2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −3.27 | −63.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 10 | +6.04 | +249.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 15 | −6.06 | −41.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +2.97 | +23.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.04 | +29.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.13 | +125.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.35 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.06 | −19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −4.31 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.92 | +331.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Chelsea · Home11 Aug 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Wolverhampton · Away19 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.85 |
| M3 | Crystal Palace · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.32 | −1.48 |
| M4 | Southampton · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −2.22 |
| M5 | Leicester · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.86 |
| M6 | West Ham · Away22 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.37 |
| M7 | Arsenal · Home30 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.93 |
| M8 | Newcastle · Away6 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −4.61 |
| M9 | Liverpool · Home20 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.60 |
| M10 | Norwich · Away27 Oct 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −3.44 |
| M11 | Bournemouth · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | −5.10 |
| M12 | Brighton · Home10 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −4.12 |
| M13 | Sheffield United · Away24 Nov 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.67 | −4.79 |
| M14 | Aston Villa · Home1 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.18 | −5.97 |
| M15 | Tottenham · Home4 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −4.37 |
| M16 | Manchester City · Away7 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.51 | −1.86 |
| M17 | Everton · Home15 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | −2.83 |
| M18 | Watford · Away22 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −4.71 |
| M19 | Newcastle · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.69 | −4.02 |
| M20 | Burnley · Away28 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −2.81 |
| M21 | Arsenal · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.19 |
| M22 | Norwich · Home11 Jan 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −3.53 |
| M23 | Liverpool · Away19 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −4.13 |
| M24 | Burnley · Home22 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.20 | −6.33 |
| M25 | Wolverhampton · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −6.97 |
| M26 | Chelsea · Away17 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −4.96 |
| M27 | Watford · Home23 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −4.02 |
| M28 | Everton · Away1 Mar 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −4.43 |
| M29 | Manchester City · Home8 Mar 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.11 | −2.31 |
| M30 | Tottenham · Away19 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.87 |
| M31 | Sheffield United · Home24 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.70 | −2.18 |
| M32 | Brighton · Away30 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −1.29 |
| M33 | Bournemouth · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.45 | −0.84 |
| M34 | Aston Villa · Away9 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −0.18 |
| M35 | Southampton · Home13 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.41 | −1.59 |
| M36 | Crystal Palace · Away16 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | −0.90 |
| M37 | West Ham · Home22 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.44 | −2.34 |
| M38 | Leicester · Away26 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −1.03 |
| Total | 66 | −1.03 | |||