Points
44Points expected by the market
36.56Gap
+7.44Yield
+29.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | +0.19 | −21.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 25 | +7.25 | +60.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.33 | −15.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +2.42 | +58.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.13 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 18 | +4.82 | +60.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arsenal · Home11 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.14 |
| M2 | Norwich · Away17 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.23 |
| M3 | Tottenham · Away25 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.58 | +0.35 |
| M4 | Watford · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.09 |
| M5 | Liverpool · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.34 | −0.43 |
| M6 | Brighton · Home21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.93 |
| M7 | Leicester · Away29 Sep 2019 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.65 | −1.58 |
| M8 | Manchester United · Home6 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +0.39 |
| M9 | Chelsea · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | −0.04 |
| M10 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.20 |
| M11 | West Ham · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.08 | +1.88 |
| M12 | Bournemouth · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.48 |
| M13 | Aston Villa · Away25 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.34 |
| M14 | Manchester City · Home30 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.64 | +2.98 |
| M15 | Sheffield United · Away5 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +5.13 |
| M16 | Southampton · Home8 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +6.73 |
| M17 | Burnley · Away14 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | +5.73 |
| M18 | Crystal Palace · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +7.23 |
| M19 | Manchester United · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.51 | +6.72 |
| M20 | Everton · Home28 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +5.55 |
| M21 | Leicester · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +4.61 |
| M22 | Wolverhampton · Away11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | +5.02 |
| M23 | Chelsea · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +7.28 |
| M24 | Everton · Away21 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.37 | +7.66 |
| M25 | Norwich · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +7.09 |
| M26 | Arsenal · Away16 Feb 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.59 | +6.50 |
| M27 | Crystal Palace · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +5.42 |
| M28 | Burnley · Home29 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +5.06 |
| M29 | Southampton · Away7 Mar 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +7.22 |
| M30 | Sheffield United · Home21 Jun 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +9.04 |
| M31 | Aston Villa · Home24 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +8.54 |
| M32 | Bournemouth · Away1 Jul 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +10.46 |
| M33 | West Ham · Home5 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +10.12 |
| M34 | Manchester City · Away8 Jul 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.21 | +9.91 |
| M35 | Watford · Away11 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +8.96 |
| M36 | Tottenham · Home15 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.78 | +8.18 |
| M37 | Brighton · Away20 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +8.17 |
| M38 | Liverpool · Home26 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.73 | +7.44 |
| Total | 44 | +7.44 | |||