Points
21Points expected by the market
33.58Gap
−12.58Yield
+13.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 5 | −6.76 | −75.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 28 | 13 | −7.20 | +38.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 4 | −5.43 | −67.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.21 | +174.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.32 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 5 | −5.99 | −49.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Liverpool · Away9 Aug 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.25 | −0.25 |
| M2 | Newcastle · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.12 |
| M3 | Chelsea · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +0.18 |
| M4 | West Ham · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.82 |
| M5 | Manchester City · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.81 | +1.99 |
| M6 | Burnley · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.93 |
| M7 | Crystal Palace · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.05 |
| M8 | Aston Villa · Home5 Oct 2019 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.51 |
| M9 | Bournemouth · Away19 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −1.41 |
| M10 | Manchester United · Home27 Oct 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.31 |
| M11 | Brighton · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.05 |
| M12 | Watford · Home8 Nov 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.33 |
| M13 | Everton · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.49 | −1.84 |
| M14 | Arsenal · Home1 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.71 |
| M15 | Southampton · Away4 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.60 |
| M16 | Sheffield United · Home8 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.79 |
| M17 | Leicester · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.61 | −3.18 |
| M18 | Wolverhampton · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.15 |
| M19 | Aston Villa · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.32 |
| M20 | Tottenham · Home28 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | −5.13 |
| M21 | Crystal Palace · Home1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −5.64 |
| M22 | Manchester United · Away11 Jan 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −6.12 |
| M23 | Bournemouth · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −4.68 |
| M24 | Tottenham · Away22 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −5.21 |
| M25 | Newcastle · Away1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −5.36 |
| M26 | Liverpool · Home15 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −5.87 |
| M27 | Wolverhampton · Away23 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −6.51 |
| M28 | Leicester · Home28 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −4.45 |
| M29 | Sheffield United · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −5.23 |
| M30 | Southampton · Home19 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −6.51 |
| M31 | Everton · Home24 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −7.43 |
| M32 | Arsenal · Away1 Jul 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −8.04 |
| M33 | Brighton · Home4 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −9.14 |
| M34 | Watford · Away7 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −9.98 |
| M35 | West Ham · Home11 Jul 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −11.05 |
| M36 | Chelsea · Away14 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.24 | −11.28 |
| M37 | Burnley · Home18 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −12.46 |
| M38 | Manchester City · Away26 Jul 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.12 | −12.58 |
| Total | 21 | −12.58 | |||