Points
54Points expected by the market
45.67Gap
+8.33Yield
+13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.74 | −10.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.55 | −12.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 24 | +8.52 | +38.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.74 | −10.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.33 | +19.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 13 | +7.12 | +149.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.22 | −30.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +1.39 | −27.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bournemouth · Away10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| M2 | Crystal Palace · Home18 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.55 |
| M3 | Leicester · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.36 |
| M4 | Chelsea · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.82 |
| M5 | Southampton · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.64 |
| M6 | Everton · Away21 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | +1.53 |
| M7 | Liverpool · Home28 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | +1.03 |
| M8 | Watford · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.84 |
| M9 | Arsenal · Home21 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +2.79 |
| M10 | West Ham · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +2.63 |
| M11 | Burnley · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.05 |
| M12 | Tottenham · Away9 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | +4.38 |
| M13 | Manchester United · Home24 Nov 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.04 | +4.33 |
| M14 | Wolverhampton · Away1 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +4.24 |
| M15 | Newcastle · Home5 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | +2.36 |
| M16 | Norwich · Away8 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.83 |
| M17 | Aston Villa · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.97 |
| M18 | Brighton · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +6.87 |
| M19 | Watford · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +6.02 |
| M20 | Manchester City · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.37 | +5.65 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Away2 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.42 | +5.23 |
| M22 | West Ham · Home10 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +6.47 |
| M23 | Arsenal · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +6.48 |
| M24 | Manchester City · Home21 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | +5.92 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +7.49 |
| M26 | Bournemouth · Home9 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +8.58 |
| M27 | Brighton · Home22 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +7.80 |
| M28 | Norwich · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +8.84 |
| M29 | Aston Villa · Away17 Jun 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +8.30 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Away21 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.50 | +6.80 |
| M31 | Manchester United · Away24 Jun 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +6.30 |
| M32 | Tottenham · Home2 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.13 | +8.43 |
| M33 | Burnley · Away5 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +8.00 |
| M34 | Wolverhampton · Home8 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +9.99 |
| M35 | Chelsea · Home11 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +12.15 |
| M36 | Leicester · Away16 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +11.09 |
| M37 | Everton · Home20 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | +9.35 |
| M38 | Southampton · Away26 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | +8.33 |
| Total | 54 | +8.33 | |||