Points
59Points expected by the market
63.55Gap
−4.55Yield
−15.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 19 | +0.79 | +3.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 22 | −3.14 | −20.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −2.57 | −37.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.38 | +17.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 18 | +1.94 | +18.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +0.86 | +1.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.15 | +1.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.47 | +193.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −4.01 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.72 | −65.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aston Villa · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +0.69 |
| M2 | Manchester City · Away17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.47 | +1.16 |
| M3 | Newcastle · Home25 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.42 | −1.25 |
| M4 | Arsenal · Away1 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.61 |
| M5 | Crystal Palace · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −0.84 |
| M6 | Leicester · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.22 |
| M7 | Southampton · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.73 | −1.49 |
| M8 | Brighton · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.92 | −3.41 |
| M9 | Watford · Home19 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.13 | −4.54 |
| M10 | Liverpool · Away27 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −5.19 |
| M11 | Everton · Away3 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −5.49 |
| M12 | Sheffield United · Home9 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −6.59 |
| M13 | West Ham · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.05 | −5.54 |
| M14 | Bournemouth · Home30 Nov 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.66 | −4.87 |
| M15 | Manchester United · Away4 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −6.19 |
| M16 | Burnley · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −5.41 |
| M17 | Wolverhampton · Away15 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.87 |
| M18 | Chelsea · Home22 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.37 |
| M19 | Brighton · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | −4.48 |
| M20 | Norwich · Away28 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | −5.46 |
| M21 | Southampton · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −7.14 |
| M22 | Liverpool · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −7.97 |
| M23 | Watford · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −8.51 |
| M24 | Norwich · Home22 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.72 | −7.78 |
| M25 | Manchester City · Home2 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.30 | −5.48 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Away16 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.26 | −4.22 |
| M27 | Chelsea · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.14 |
| M28 | Wolverhampton · Home1 Mar 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −6.48 |
| M29 | Burnley · Away7 Mar 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −6.85 |
| M30 | Manchester United · Home19 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −7.01 |
| M31 | West Ham · Home23 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −6.09 |
| M32 | Sheffield United · Away2 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.87 | −7.95 |
| M33 | Everton · Home6 Jul 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −6.67 |
| M34 | Bournemouth · Away9 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | −7.57 |
| M35 | Arsenal · Home12 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −5.90 |
| M36 | Newcastle · Away15 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −4.88 |
| M37 | Leicester · Home19 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −3.40 |
| M38 | Crystal Palace · Away26 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | −4.55 |
| Total | 59 | −4.55 | |||