Points
34Points expected by the market
43.42Gap
−9.42Yield
−33.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.77 | +36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 15 | −8.65 | −50.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 10 | −2.54 | −32.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.77 | +36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −5.85 | −64.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +3.24 | +90.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.80 | −34.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 2 | −5.78 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brighton · Home10 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.69 |
| M2 | Everton · Away17 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.59 |
| M3 | West Ham · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.17 |
| M4 | Newcastle · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −4.43 |
| M5 | Arsenal · Home15 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −4.39 |
| M6 | Manchester City · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-8 | 0 | −0.21 | −4.59 |
| M7 | Wolverhampton · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −5.54 |
| M8 | Sheffield United · Home5 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −6.06 |
| M9 | Tottenham · Away19 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | −5.72 |
| M10 | Bournemouth · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −6.26 |
| M11 | Chelsea · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −7.04 |
| M12 | Norwich · Away8 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −5.50 |
| M13 | Burnley · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.58 | −7.08 |
| M14 | Southampton · Away30 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −8.16 |
| M15 | Leicester · Away4 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −8.67 |
| M16 | Crystal Palace · Home7 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −9.14 |
| M17 | Liverpool · Away14 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −9.46 |
| M18 | Manchester United · Home22 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −7.32 |
| M19 | Sheffield United · Away26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −7.21 |
| M20 | Aston Villa · Home28 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −6.07 |
| M21 | Wolverhampton · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.27 |
| M22 | Bournemouth · Away12 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −2.58 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Home18 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.77 |
| M24 | Aston Villa · Away21 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.28 |
| M25 | Everton · Home1 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −5.53 |
| M26 | Brighton · Away8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −5.71 |
| M27 | Manchester United · Away23 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −6.41 |
| M28 | Liverpool · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.36 | −4.05 |
| M29 | Crystal Palace · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.35 |
| M30 | Leicester · Home20 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −5.40 |
| M31 | Burnley · Away25 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −6.99 |
| M32 | Southampton · Home28 Jun 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −8.50 |
| M33 | Chelsea · Away4 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −9.02 |
| M34 | Norwich · Home7 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −7.92 |
| M35 | Newcastle · Home11 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −6.70 |
| M36 | West Ham · Away17 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −7.89 |
| M37 | Manchester City · Home21 Jul 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.47 | −8.36 |
| M38 | Arsenal · Away26 Jul 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −9.42 |
| Total | 34 | −9.42 | |||