Points
39Points expected by the market
41.78Gap
−2.78Yield
+0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.54 | −1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | +0.26 | −23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 10 | −1.50 | +23.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.87 | −23.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +1.89 | +1.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −1.40 | +17.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.33 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.63 | −52.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −0.10 | +26.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Manchester City · Home10 Aug 2019 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.41 | −0.41 |
| M2 | Brighton · Away17 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.55 |
| M3 | Watford · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.30 |
| M4 | Norwich · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.54 |
| M5 | Aston Villa · Away16 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +2.13 |
| M6 | Manchester United · Home22 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.92 |
| M7 | Bournemouth · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.66 |
| M8 | Crystal Palace · Home5 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +1.95 |
| M9 | Everton · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +1.03 |
| M10 | Sheffield United · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.48 |
| M11 | Newcastle · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −1.35 |
| M12 | Burnley · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.48 |
| M13 | Tottenham · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.31 |
| M14 | Chelsea · Away30 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.55 | −0.76 |
| M15 | Wolverhampton · Away4 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.56 |
| M16 | Arsenal · Home9 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.60 |
| M17 | Southampton · Away14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −0.53 |
| M18 | Crystal Palace · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.69 |
| M19 | Leicester · Home28 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.09 |
| M20 | Bournemouth · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −1.86 |
| M21 | Sheffield United · Away10 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.81 |
| M22 | Everton · Home18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.08 |
| M23 | Leicester · Away22 Jan 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.72 |
| M24 | Liverpool · Home29 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −4.23 |
| M25 | Brighton · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | −4.66 |
| M26 | Manchester City · Away19 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.24 | −4.90 |
| M27 | Liverpool · Away24 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.28 | −5.18 |
| M28 | Southampton · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.57 |
| M29 | Arsenal · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −4.36 |
| M30 | Wolverhampton · Home20 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.35 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Away23 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −6.04 |
| M32 | Chelsea · Home1 Jul 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.38 | −3.66 |
| M33 | Newcastle · Away5 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.03 |
| M34 | Burnley · Home8 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.82 | −5.85 |
| M35 | Norwich · Away11 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −4.52 |
| M36 | Watford · Home17 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −3.00 |
| M37 | Manchester United · Away22 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.59 | −2.41 |
| M38 | Aston Villa · Home26 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.78 |
| Total | 39 | −2.78 | |||