Points
59Points expected by the market
55.36Gap
+3.64Yield
+39.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.41 | −28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 31 | +5.14 | +16.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −3.16 | −40.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +2.07 | +238.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.41 | −28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +3.90 | +16.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −5.24 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.61 | +242.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.23 | +15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.09 | +3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.46 | +237.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leicester · Away11 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.19 |
| M2 | Manchester United · Home19 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.44 |
| M3 | Burnley · Home25 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −1.33 |
| M4 | Everton · Away1 Sep 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.35 |
| M5 | Chelsea · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.58 |
| M6 | Crystal Palace · Away22 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.91 |
| M7 | Watford · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.68 |
| M8 | Manchester City · Away6 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.75 | +0.07 |
| M9 | Southampton · Home19 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −0.62 |
| M10 | Newcastle · Away27 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.14 |
| M11 | Arsenal · Away2 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −1.00 |
| M12 | Aston Villa · Home10 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.05 |
| M13 | Bournemouth · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.61 |
| M14 | Sheffield United · Home1 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +1.00 |
| M15 | West Ham · Home4 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.05 |
| M16 | Brighton · Away8 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | +1.74 |
| M17 | Tottenham · Home15 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.48 |
| M18 | Norwich · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.70 |
| M19 | Manchester City · Home27 Dec 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.40 | +4.10 |
| M20 | Liverpool · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.41 | +3.68 |
| M21 | Watford · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.18 |
| M22 | Newcastle · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | +0.99 |
| M23 | Southampton · Away18 Jan 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.71 |
| M24 | Liverpool · Home23 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.92 |
| M25 | Manchester United · Away1 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.84 |
| M26 | Leicester · Home14 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.47 |
| M27 | Norwich · Home23 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +2.33 |
| M28 | Tottenham · Away1 Mar 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.99 |
| M29 | Brighton · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.93 | +3.05 |
| M30 | West Ham · Away20 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +4.33 |
| M31 | Bournemouth · Home24 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +5.25 |
| M32 | Aston Villa · Away27 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.45 |
| M33 | Arsenal · Home4 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +4.94 |
| M34 | Sheffield United · Away8 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +3.26 |
| M35 | Everton · Home12 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +4.57 |
| M36 | Burnley · Away15 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +3.79 |
| M37 | Crystal Palace · Home20 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +4.57 |
| M38 | Chelsea · Away26 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.64 |
| Total | 59 | +3.64 | |||