Points
61Points expected by the market
60.64Gap
+0.36Yield
+7.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.40 | −28.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 42 | −0.47 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.91 | −16.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 9 | +4.15 | +114.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.40 | −28.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 18 | −4.65 | −33.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.25 | −11.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.51 | +136.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +4.18 | +15.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.16 | −20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.63 | +104.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fulham · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.03 |
| M2 | West Ham · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +1.90 |
| M3 | Liverpool · Away28 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +1.22 |
| M4 | Sheffield United · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +2.08 |
| M5 | Manchester City · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | +1.36 |
| M6 | Leicester · Home25 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −0.39 |
| M7 | Manchester United · Away1 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.60 |
| M8 | Aston Villa · Home8 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.97 | −0.37 |
| M9 | Leeds · Away22 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.04 |
| M10 | Wolverhampton · Home29 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −2.71 |
| M11 | Tottenham · Away6 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.84 |
| M12 | Burnley · Home13 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.18 | −6.02 |
| M13 | Southampton · Home16 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −6.62 |
| M14 | Everton · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −7.98 |
| M15 | Chelsea · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −5.84 |
| M16 | Brighton · Away29 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.49 |
| M17 | West Bromwich Albion · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −3.53 |
| M18 | Crystal Palace · Home14 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | −4.47 |
| M19 | Newcastle · Home18 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −3.69 |
| M20 | Southampton · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.34 |
| M21 | Manchester United · Home30 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.44 |
| M22 | Wolverhampton · Away2 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.05 |
| M23 | Aston Villa · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −5.53 |
| M24 | Leeds · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.17 | −4.36 |
| M25 | Manchester City · Home21 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −4.99 |
| M26 | Leicester · Away28 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.18 |
| M27 | Burnley · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −4.07 |
| M28 | Tottenham · Home14 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.44 |
| M29 | West Ham · Away21 Mar 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.62 | −3.06 |
| M30 | Liverpool · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −4.34 |
| M31 | Sheffield United · Away11 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −3.33 |
| M32 | Fulham · Home18 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −4.15 |
| M33 | Everton · Home23 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −5.84 |
| M34 | Newcastle · Away2 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −4.54 |
| M35 | West Bromwich Albion · Home9 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.86 | −3.68 |
| M36 | Chelsea · Away12 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −1.64 |
| M37 | Crystal Palace · Away19 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −0.68 |
| M38 | Brighton · Home23 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +0.36 |
| Total | 61 | +0.36 | |||