Points
55Points expected by the market
48.60Gap
+6.40Yield
+43.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −2.74 | −27.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +2.27 | +22.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 16 | +6.87 | +128.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −1.16 | −33.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.45 | −11.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +2.35 | +172.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.59 | −21.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.72 | +67.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 10 | +4.52 | +97.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sheffield United · Home21 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Fulham · Away28 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.05 |
| M3 | Liverpool · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 7-2 | 3 | +2.37 | +5.42 |
| M4 | Leicester · Away18 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +7.17 |
| M5 | Leeds · Home23 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.75 | +5.42 |
| M6 | Southampton · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.39 | +4.03 |
| M7 | Arsenal · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +6.22 |
| M8 | Brighton · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +4.69 |
| M9 | West Ham · Away30 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +3.46 |
| M10 | Wolverhampton · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +5.18 |
| M11 | Burnley · Home17 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | +4.38 |
| M12 | West Bromwich Albion · Away20 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +5.48 |
| M13 | Crystal Palace · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +6.64 |
| M14 | Chelsea · Away28 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +6.72 |
| M15 | Manchester United · Away1 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +5.87 |
| M16 | Manchester City · Away20 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | +5.40 |
| M17 | Newcastle · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +6.28 |
| M18 | Burnley · Away27 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +4.44 |
| M19 | Southampton · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +5.86 |
| M20 | West Ham · Home3 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.50 | +4.36 |
| M21 | Arsenal · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +6.12 |
| M22 | Brighton · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +5.69 |
| M23 | Leicester · Home21 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +4.64 |
| M24 | Leeds · Away27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +6.56 |
| M25 | Sheffield United · Away3 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +4.94 |
| M26 | Wolverhampton · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +4.53 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Away12 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +3.89 |
| M28 | Tottenham · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +2.67 |
| M29 | Fulham · Home4 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +4.23 |
| M30 | Liverpool · Away10 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | +3.61 |
| M31 | Manchester City · Home21 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.48 | +3.13 |
| M32 | West Bromwich Albion · Home25 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | +2.47 |
| M33 | Everton · Away1 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +4.45 |
| M34 | Manchester United · Home9 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.55 |
| M35 | Everton · Home13 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +3.31 |
| M36 | Crystal Palace · Away16 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.52 | +1.79 |
| M37 | Tottenham · Away19 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | +4.01 |
| M38 | Chelsea · Home23 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.39 | +6.40 |
| Total | 55 | +6.40 | |||