Points
41Points expected by the market
48.56Gap
−7.56Yield
−15.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 11 | −8.91 | −65.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +3.31 | +5.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −1.96 | +4.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.34 | −52.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.79 | −46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.02 | +45.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 0 | −5.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.10 | +43.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −1.98 | −20.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Chelsea · Home14 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.71 |
| M2 | Newcastle · Away20 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.99 |
| M3 | Manchester United · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.22 |
| M4 | Everton · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.66 |
| M5 | Crystal Palace · Away18 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −1.13 |
| M6 | West Bromwich Albion · Home26 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | −2.09 |
| M7 | Tottenham · Away1 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.83 |
| M8 | Burnley · Home6 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −3.57 |
| M9 | Aston Villa · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −1.77 |
| M10 | Liverpool · Home28 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −1.60 |
| M11 | Southampton · Home7 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.06 |
| M12 | Leicester · Away13 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −4.11 |
| M13 | Fulham · Away16 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −4.53 |
| M14 | Sheffield United · Home20 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −5.34 |
| M15 | West Ham · Away27 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −5.54 |
| M16 | Arsenal · Home29 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −6.61 |
| M17 | Wolverhampton · Home2 Jan 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −6.94 |
| M18 | Manchester City · Away13 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | −7.24 |
| M19 | Leeds · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −5.43 |
| M20 | Fulham · Home27 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −6.12 |
| M21 | Tottenham · Home31 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −4.30 |
| M22 | Liverpool · Away3 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.34 | −1.96 |
| M23 | Burnley · Away6 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −2.57 |
| M24 | Aston Villa · Home13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −2.85 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Home22 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −4.76 |
| M26 | West Bromwich Albion · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.82 | −6.58 |
| M27 | Leicester · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −8.02 |
| M28 | Southampton · Away14 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −6.53 |
| M29 | Newcastle · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −5.47 |
| M30 | Manchester United · Away4 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −6.25 |
| M31 | Everton · Home12 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −6.87 |
| M32 | Chelsea · Away20 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | −6.63 |
| M33 | Sheffield United · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.06 | −8.69 |
| M34 | Leeds · Home1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −7.36 |
| M35 | Wolverhampton · Away9 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −9.05 |
| M36 | West Ham · Home15 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −9.14 |
| M37 | Manchester City · Home18 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.40 | −6.75 |
| M38 | Arsenal · Away23 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −7.56 |
| Total | 41 | −7.56 | |||