Points
39Points expected by the market
36.56Gap
+2.44Yield
+13.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +2.04 | +28.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 18 | +1.02 | +10.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.36 | +6.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −0.76 | −55.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.40 | +57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +1.78 | +61.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leicester · Away20 Sep 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.69 |
| M2 | Southampton · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.86 |
| M3 | Newcastle · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.07 |
| M4 | West Bromwich Albion · Away19 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.37 |
| M5 | Tottenham · Home26 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −4.10 |
| M6 | Chelsea · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.84 |
| M7 | Brighton · Away6 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −4.81 |
| M8 | Crystal Palace · Home23 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.21 |
| M9 | Manchester City · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.24 | −3.44 |
| M10 | Everton · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −3.49 |
| M11 | Arsenal · Away13 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.39 | −1.10 |
| M12 | Aston Villa · Away17 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −1.04 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Home21 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.81 |
| M14 | Leeds · Away27 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.04 |
| M15 | Sheffield United · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.46 |
| M16 | Manchester United · Home12 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | +0.89 |
| M17 | West Ham · Away16 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.04 |
| M18 | Liverpool · Away21 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.52 | +2.57 |
| M19 | Aston Villa · Home27 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.09 | +4.66 |
| M20 | Chelsea · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | +4.19 |
| M21 | Manchester City · Home3 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.33 | +3.86 |
| M22 | Brighton · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +3.77 |
| M23 | Crystal Palace · Away13 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.39 |
| M24 | Fulham · Home17 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +5.12 |
| M25 | West Bromwich Albion · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +4.49 |
| M26 | Tottenham · Away28 Feb 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.63 | +3.86 |
| M27 | Leicester · Home3 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +3.80 |
| M28 | Arsenal · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +3.95 |
| M29 | Everton · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +5.97 |
| M30 | Southampton · Away4 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +4.98 |
| M31 | Newcastle · Home11 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +3.42 |
| M32 | Manchester United · Away18 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +2.91 |
| M33 | Wolverhampton · Away25 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +4.75 |
| M34 | West Ham · Home3 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +3.53 |
| M35 | Fulham · Away10 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +5.38 |
| M36 | Leeds · Home15 May 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.08 | +4.30 |
| M37 | Liverpool · Home19 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | +3.86 |
| M38 | Sheffield United · Away23 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | +2.44 |
| Total | 39 | +2.44 | |||