Points
67Points expected by the market
72.09Gap
−5.09Yield
−11.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 19 | −1.31 | −6.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 40 | −3.15 | −19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.62 | −44.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.99 | +301.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.24 | +16.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −2.42 | −35.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.73 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.55 | −51.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 23 | −0.73 | −5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.11 | +11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.99 | +301.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brighton · Away14 Sep 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +0.93 |
| M2 | Liverpool · Home20 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.17 |
| M3 | West Bromwich Albion · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.17 | −1.34 |
| M4 | Crystal Palace · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.90 | −0.45 |
| M5 | Southampton · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.04 | −1.48 |
| M6 | Manchester United · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.82 |
| M7 | Burnley · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −0.85 |
| M8 | Sheffield United · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.72 | −0.13 |
| M9 | Newcastle · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +0.68 |
| M10 | Tottenham · Home29 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.01 |
| M11 | Leeds · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.84 |
| M12 | Everton · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.94 | −1.10 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | −3.06 |
| M14 | West Ham · Home21 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −2.10 |
| M15 | Arsenal · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.89 | −3.99 |
| M16 | Aston Villa · Home28 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −4.82 |
| M17 | Manchester City · Home3 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.95 |
| M18 | Fulham · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −5.00 |
| M19 | Leicester · Away19 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.42 |
| M20 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | −7.42 |
| M21 | Burnley · Home31 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −6.76 |
| M22 | Tottenham · Away4 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −5.49 |
| M23 | Sheffield United · Away7 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | −4.63 |
| M24 | Newcastle · Home15 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.60 | −4.03 |
| M25 | Southampton · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −4.90 |
| M26 | Manchester United · Home28 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −5.41 |
| M27 | Liverpool · Away4 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −3.55 |
| M28 | Everton · Home8 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −2.57 |
| M29 | Leeds · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | −3.50 |
| M30 | West Bromwich Albion · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −2.42 | −5.92 |
| M31 | Crystal Palace · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.85 | −5.07 |
| M32 | Brighton · Home20 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | −6.05 |
| M33 | West Ham · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −5.01 |
| M34 | Fulham · Home1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −4.18 |
| M35 | Manchester City · Away8 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | −2.19 |
| M36 | Arsenal · Home12 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | −3.95 |
| M37 | Leicester · Home18 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −2.90 |
| M38 | Aston Villa · Away23 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.19 | −5.09 |
| Total | 67 | −5.09 | |||