Points
44Points expected by the market
38.33Gap
+5.67Yield
+7.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.31 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 31 | +10.51 | +55.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 10 | −4.53 | −30.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.31 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 18 | +5.51 | +43.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −3.22 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +4.99 | +75.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −1.30 | +7.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Southampton · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.76 |
| M2 | Manchester United · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.48 | +4.24 |
| M3 | Everton · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +3.13 |
| M4 | Chelsea · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +2.46 |
| M5 | Brighton · Home18 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.23 |
| M6 | Fulham · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.96 |
| M7 | Wolverhampton · Away30 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +2.96 |
| M8 | Leeds · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +4.67 |
| M9 | Burnley · Away23 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +3.38 |
| M10 | Newcastle · Home27 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +1.74 |
| M11 | West Bromwich Albion · Away6 Dec 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.28 |
| M12 | Tottenham · Home13 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +3.35 |
| M13 | West Ham · Away16 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +3.24 |
| M14 | Liverpool · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.78 | +2.46 |
| M15 | Aston Villa · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +1.54 |
| M16 | Leicester · Home28 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +1.40 |
| M17 | Sheffield United · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.72 |
| M18 | Arsenal · Away14 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | +2.92 |
| M19 | Manchester City · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.30 | +2.62 |
| M20 | West Ham · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.51 |
| M21 | Wolverhampton · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.23 |
| M22 | Newcastle · Away2 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +4.78 |
| M23 | Leeds · Away8 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +3.88 |
| M24 | Burnley · Home13 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +2.56 |
| M25 | Brighton · Away22 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +4.74 |
| M26 | Fulham · Home28 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | +4.61 |
| M27 | Manchester United · Home3 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.41 | +5.02 |
| M28 | Tottenham · Away7 Mar 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +4.35 |
| M29 | West Bromwich Albion · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +5.82 |
| M30 | Everton · Away5 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +5.93 |
| M31 | Chelsea · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.62 | +5.31 |
| M32 | Leicester · Away26 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +4.74 |
| M33 | Manchester City · Home1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | +4.27 |
| M34 | Sheffield United · Away8 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +5.85 |
| M35 | Southampton · Away11 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +4.89 |
| M36 | Aston Villa · Home16 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +6.69 |
| M37 | Arsenal · Home19 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +5.96 |
| M38 | Liverpool · Away23 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.29 | +5.67 |
| Total | 44 | +5.67 | |||