Points
59Points expected by the market
52.24Gap
+6.76Yield
+35.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | −1.67 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 23 | +3.70 | +42.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 16 | +7.03 | +84.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −3.46 | −18.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.82 | −46.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.70 | +19.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.79 | +28.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 19 | +6.52 | +91.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 11 | +5.33 | +121.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tottenham · Away13 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.96 |
| M2 | West Bromwich Albion · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +2.90 |
| M3 | Crystal Palace · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +4.31 |
| M4 | Brighton · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +5.44 |
| M5 | Liverpool · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +5.51 |
| M6 | Southampton · Away25 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +4.00 |
| M7 | Newcastle · Away1 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.44 |
| M8 | Manchester United · Home7 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.27 |
| M9 | Fulham · Away22 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.46 |
| M10 | Leeds · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.94 |
| M11 | Burnley · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +0.26 |
| M12 | Chelsea · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +2.43 |
| M13 | Leicester · Away16 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +4.32 |
| M14 | Arsenal · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +5.96 |
| M15 | Sheffield United · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +7.40 |
| M16 | West Ham · Home1 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | +5.83 |
| M17 | Wolverhampton · Away12 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +7.60 |
| M18 | Leicester · Home27 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +7.40 |
| M19 | Newcastle · Home30 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.07 | +5.33 |
| M20 | Leeds · Away3 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +7.00 |
| M21 | Manchester United · Away6 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.24 | +7.24 |
| M22 | Fulham · Home14 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +5.54 |
| M23 | Manchester City · Home17 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.43 | +5.11 |
| M24 | Liverpool · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.46 | +7.56 |
| M25 | Southampton · Home1 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +8.95 |
| M26 | West Bromwich Albion · Away4 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +10.23 |
| M27 | Chelsea · Away8 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +9.50 |
| M28 | Burnley · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +7.76 |
| M29 | Crystal Palace · Home5 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +6.93 |
| M30 | Brighton · Away12 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +6.83 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Home16 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +6.72 |
| M32 | Arsenal · Away23 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +8.69 |
| M33 | Aston Villa · Home1 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | +6.97 |
| M34 | West Ham · Away9 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +8.86 |
| M35 | Aston Villa · Away13 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +8.39 |
| M36 | Sheffield United · Home16 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.31 | +6.09 |
| M37 | Wolverhampton · Home19 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +7.22 |
| M38 | Manchester City · Away23 May 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.46 | +6.76 |
| Total | 59 | +6.76 | |||