Points
28Points expected by the market
40.00Gap
−12.00Yield
−49.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.26 | +97.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 10 | −10.93 | −83.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 15 | −2.32 | −32.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.26 | +97.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 5 | −7.54 | −73.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −5.29 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −3.39 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 13 | +2.97 | +15.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arsenal · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.78 |
| M2 | Leeds · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.61 |
| M3 | Aston Villa · Home28 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.85 |
| M4 | Wolverhampton · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.69 |
| M5 | Sheffield United · Away18 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.82 |
| M6 | Crystal Palace · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −5.24 |
| M7 | West Bromwich Albion · Home2 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −3.73 |
| M8 | West Ham · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.67 |
| M9 | Everton · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −5.60 |
| M10 | Leicester · Away30 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −3.37 |
| M11 | Manchester City · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.24 | −3.60 |
| M12 | Liverpool · Home13 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | −3.13 |
| M13 | Brighton · Home16 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −3.41 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −3.82 |
| M15 | Southampton · Home26 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.11 |
| M16 | Tottenham · Away13 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −3.83 |
| M17 | Chelsea · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.54 |
| M18 | Manchester United · Home20 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −5.30 |
| M19 | Brighton · Away27 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −5.32 |
| M20 | West Bromwich Albion · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −5.92 |
| M21 | Leicester · Home3 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.97 |
| M22 | West Ham · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −6.93 |
| M23 | Everton · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | −4.95 |
| M24 | Burnley · Away17 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −5.37 |
| M25 | Sheffield United · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −4.11 |
| M26 | Crystal Palace · Away28 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −4.68 |
| M27 | Tottenham · Home4 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.70 |
| M28 | Liverpool · Away7 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.24 | −3.45 |
| M29 | Manchester City · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −4.00 |
| M30 | Leeds · Home19 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −5.41 |
| M31 | Aston Villa · Away4 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −6.67 |
| M32 | Wolverhampton · Home9 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.07 |
| M33 | Arsenal · Away18 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −7.99 |
| M34 | Chelsea · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −8.58 |
| M35 | Burnley · Home10 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −10.16 |
| M36 | Southampton · Away15 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −11.10 |
| M37 | Manchester United · Away18 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.55 | −10.56 |
| M38 | Newcastle · Home23 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −12.00 |
| Total | 28 | −12.00 | |||