Points
59Points expected by the market
49.47Gap
+9.53Yield
+27.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 30 | +7.97 | +48.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.09 | −9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 16 | +4.66 | +41.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +4.27 | +34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 1 | −5.92 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +3.06 | −19.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.70 | +90.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.83 | +54.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +1.59 | +75.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Liverpool · Away12 Sep 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.43 | −0.43 |
| M2 | Fulham · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.08 | +0.65 |
| M3 | Sheffield United · Away27 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.20 |
| M4 | Manchester City · Home3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.52 | +2.72 |
| M5 | Wolverhampton · Home19 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.27 |
| M6 | Aston Villa · Away23 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +3.26 |
| M7 | Leicester · Home2 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.46 | +1.80 |
| M8 | Crystal Palace · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.43 | +0.37 |
| M9 | Arsenal · Home22 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.29 |
| M10 | Everton · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.07 |
| M11 | Chelsea · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.41 |
| M12 | West Ham · Home11 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −0.19 |
| M13 | Newcastle · Home16 Dec 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.97 | +0.78 |
| M14 | Manchester United · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.10 |
| M15 | Burnley · Home27 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +0.98 |
| M16 | West Bromwich Albion · Away29 Dec 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.14 |
| M17 | Tottenham · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.18 |
| M18 | Brighton · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.36 |
| M19 | Newcastle · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.83 |
| M20 | Leicester · Away31 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +2.90 |
| M21 | Everton · Home3 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +1.51 |
| M22 | Crystal Palace · Home8 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +2.67 |
| M23 | Arsenal · Away14 Feb 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.92 | +1.74 |
| M24 | Wolverhampton · Away19 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.56 |
| M25 | Southampton · Home23 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.96 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.66 | +0.30 |
| M27 | West Ham · Away8 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.88 |
| M28 | Chelsea · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.70 |
| M29 | Fulham · Away19 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.00 |
| M30 | Sheffield United · Home3 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.92 |
| M31 | Manchester City · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.45 | +4.38 |
| M32 | Liverpool · Home19 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +4.61 |
| M33 | Manchester United · Home25 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | +4.70 |
| M34 | Brighton · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +3.64 |
| M35 | Tottenham · Home8 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +5.68 |
| M36 | Burnley · Away15 May 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +7.01 |
| M37 | Southampton · Away18 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +8.61 |
| M38 | West Bromwich Albion · Home23 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +9.53 |
| Total | 59 | +9.53 | |||