Points
69Points expected by the market
77.13Gap
−8.13Yield
−14.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 34 | −6.24 | −22.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 28 | −2.19 | −8.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.33 | +21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 23 | −3.18 | −15.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −1.58 | −13.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.77 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −3.07 | −35.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.60 | −5.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.10 | +142.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leeds · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.58 | +0.58 |
| M2 | Chelsea · Away20 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.94 |
| M3 | Arsenal · Home28 Sep 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.82 |
| M4 | Aston Villa · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 2-7 | 0 | −2.18 | +0.64 |
| M5 | Everton · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −0.20 |
| M6 | Sheffield United · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +0.29 |
| M7 | West Ham · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.08 |
| M8 | Manchester City · Away8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.05 |
| M9 | Leicester · Home22 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.19 |
| M10 | Brighton · Away28 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | +1.25 |
| M11 | Wolverhampton · Home6 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.21 |
| M12 | Fulham · Away13 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.30 | +0.91 |
| M13 | Tottenham · Home16 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.08 |
| M14 | Crystal Palace · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.10 |
| M15 | West Bromwich Albion · Home27 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.65 | +1.45 |
| M16 | Newcastle · Away30 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.40 | +0.04 |
| M17 | Southampton · Away4 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.12 | −2.07 |
| M18 | Manchester United · Home17 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.81 |
| M19 | Burnley · Home21 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.35 | −5.15 |
| M20 | Tottenham · Away28 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −3.84 |
| M21 | West Ham · Away31 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.48 |
| M22 | Brighton · Home3 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.13 | −4.61 |
| M23 | Manchester City · Home7 Feb 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.80 |
| M24 | Leicester · Away13 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −7.53 |
| M25 | Everton · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.28 | −9.81 |
| M26 | Sheffield United · Away28 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −9.09 |
| M27 | Chelsea · Home4 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −10.67 |
| M28 | Fulham · Home7 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.00 | −12.67 |
| M29 | Wolverhampton · Away15 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −11.67 |
| M30 | Arsenal · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −10.13 |
| M31 | Aston Villa · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −9.30 |
| M32 | Leeds · Away19 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | −10.32 |
| M33 | Newcastle · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.50 | −11.82 |
| M34 | Southampton · Home8 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −11.19 |
| M35 | Manchester United · Away13 May 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.55 | −9.63 |
| M36 | West Bromwich Albion · Away16 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | −9.13 |
| M37 | Burnley · Away19 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.60 | −8.53 |
| M38 | Crystal Palace · Home23 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.40 | −8.13 |
| Total | 69 | −8.13 | |||