Points
86Points expected by the market
86.54Gap
−0.54Yield
−2.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 28 | 69 | +1.09 | −0.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −3.08 | −23.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.45 | +125.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 37 | −0.62 | −3.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −3.66 | −61.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 32 | +1.71 | +2.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.58 | +6.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.45 | +125.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolverhampton · Away21 Sep 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.85 |
| M2 | Leicester · Home27 Sep 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −2.36 | −1.51 |
| M3 | Leeds · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | −2.88 |
| M4 | Arsenal · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.97 |
| M5 | West Ham · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | −3.16 |
| M6 | Sheffield United · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | −2.56 |
| M7 | Liverpool · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −3.30 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.83 | −5.13 |
| M9 | Burnley · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.33 | −4.80 |
| M10 | Fulham · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.33 | −4.47 |
| M11 | Manchester United · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −5.38 |
| M12 | West Bromwich Albion · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.71 | −7.09 |
| M13 | Southampton · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | −6.19 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.33 | −5.86 |
| M15 | Chelsea · Away3 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −4.47 |
| M16 | Brighton · Home13 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.43 | −4.05 |
| M17 | Crystal Palace · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.43 | −3.62 |
| M18 | Aston Villa · Home20 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −2.98 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.38 | −2.60 |
| M20 | Sheffield United · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.43 | −2.16 |
| M21 | Burnley · Away3 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −1.70 |
| M22 | Liverpool · Away7 Feb 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.24 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Home13 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +0.44 |
| M24 | Everton · Away17 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +1.04 |
| M25 | Arsenal · Away21 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +1.87 |
| M26 | West Ham · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.44 |
| M27 | Wolverhampton · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +2.93 |
| M28 | Manchester United · Home7 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.14 | +0.80 |
| M29 | Southampton · Home10 Mar 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.44 | +1.23 |
| M30 | Fulham · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +1.99 |
| M31 | Leicester · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +3.03 |
| M32 | Leeds · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.27 | +0.76 |
| M33 | Aston Villa · Away21 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.42 |
| M34 | Crystal Palace · Away1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +2.07 |
| M35 | Chelsea · Home8 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +0.36 |
| M36 | Newcastle · Away14 May 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.67 | +1.04 |
| M37 | Brighton · Away18 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.19 | −1.15 |
| M38 | Everton · Home23 May 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.62 | −0.54 |
| Total | 86 | −0.54 | |||