Points
74Points expected by the market
68.14Gap
+5.86Yield
+11.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 21 | −4.26 | −24.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 36 | +6.28 | +20.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.41 | +12.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.43 | +69.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 13 | −3.25 | −22.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +0.86 | +5.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −1.01 | −28.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 20 | +5.42 | +35.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 11 | +4.09 | +57.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.33 | +238.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crystal Palace · Home19 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.29 | −2.29 |
| M2 | Brighton · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.00 | −1.29 |
| M3 | Tottenham · Home4 Oct 2020 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.65 | −2.94 |
| M4 | Newcastle · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −1.85 |
| M5 | Chelsea · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −2.24 |
| M6 | Arsenal · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −3.96 |
| M7 | Everton · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −2.52 |
| M8 | West Bromwich Albion · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.66 | −1.87 |
| M9 | Southampton · Away29 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.60 |
| M10 | West Ham · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.80 |
| M11 | Manchester City · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.94 |
| M12 | Sheffield United · Away17 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.80 | +1.75 |
| M13 | Leeds · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.85 |
| M14 | Leicester · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +2.36 |
| M15 | Wolverhampton · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +3.27 |
| M16 | Aston Villa · Home1 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.35 |
| M17 | Burnley · Away12 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +5.11 |
| M18 | Liverpool · Away17 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +5.09 |
| M19 | Fulham · Away20 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +6.09 |
| M20 | Sheffield United · Home27 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.41 | +3.68 |
| M21 | Arsenal · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +3.05 |
| M22 | Southampton · Home2 Feb 2021 | W 9-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +3.87 |
| M23 | Everton · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.01 | +2.86 |
| M24 | West Bromwich Albion · Away14 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.37 | +1.49 |
| M25 | Newcastle · Home21 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +2.15 |
| M26 | Chelsea · Away28 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +1.95 |
| M27 | Crystal Palace · Away3 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.21 | +0.74 |
| M28 | Manchester City · Away7 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.36 | +3.09 |
| M29 | West Ham · Home14 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +4.22 |
| M30 | Brighton · Home4 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +5.25 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Away11 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +6.77 |
| M32 | Burnley · Home18 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +7.47 |
| M33 | Leeds · Away25 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | +6.62 |
| M34 | Aston Villa · Away9 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +7.76 |
| M35 | Leicester · Home11 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +6.71 |
| M36 | Liverpool · Home13 May 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.29 | +5.42 |
| M37 | Fulham · Home18 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | +4.04 |
| M38 | Wolverhampton · Away23 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.86 |
| Total | 74 | +5.86 | |||