Points
45Points expected by the market
35.16Gap
+9.84Yield
+18.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.18 | +85.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 23 | +6.79 | +62.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 19 | +1.86 | −8.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.18 | +85.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.65 | +86.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −4.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +1.15 | +24.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 15 | +5.92 | +57.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | West Ham · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.97 |
| M2 | Brighton · Home20 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.58 |
| M3 | Tottenham · Away27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | +1.01 |
| M4 | Burnley · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.52 |
| M5 | Manchester United · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.66 |
| M6 | Wolverhampton · Away25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +1.79 |
| M7 | Everton · Home1 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.64 |
| M8 | Southampton · Away6 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +2.53 |
| M9 | Chelsea · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.61 | +1.92 |
| M10 | Crystal Palace · Away27 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.85 |
| M11 | West Bromwich Albion · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +5.38 |
| M12 | Leeds · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.75 | +4.63 |
| M13 | Fulham · Home19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +4.33 |
| M14 | Manchester City · Away26 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.24 | +4.09 |
| M15 | Liverpool · Home30 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.56 | +4.66 |
| M16 | Leicester · Home3 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | +3.94 |
| M17 | Sheffield United · Away12 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.79 |
| M18 | Arsenal · Away18 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | +2.21 |
| M19 | Aston Villa · Away23 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +1.54 |
| M20 | Leeds · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.59 |
| M21 | Everton · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +2.89 |
| M22 | Crystal Palace · Home2 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.63 |
| M23 | Southampton · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.47 |
| M24 | Chelsea · Away15 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.44 | +3.04 |
| M25 | Manchester United · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | +2.55 |
| M26 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +2.46 |
| M27 | West Bromwich Albion · Away7 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +2.31 |
| M28 | Aston Villa · Home12 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.24 |
| M29 | Brighton · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.45 |
| M30 | Tottenham · Home4 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | +1.66 |
| M31 | Burnley · Away11 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +3.51 |
| M32 | West Ham · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.88 | +5.38 |
| M33 | Liverpool · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.64 | +6.02 |
| M34 | Arsenal · Home2 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +4.98 |
| M35 | Leicester · Away7 May 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.46 | +7.44 |
| M36 | Manchester City · Home14 May 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.51 | +6.93 |
| M37 | Sheffield United · Home19 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +8.11 |
| M38 | Fulham · Away23 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +9.84 |
| Total | 45 | +9.84 | |||