Points
23Points expected by the market
34.57Gap
−11.57Yield
−2.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −7.26 | −53.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 13 | −5.66 | +14.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.55 | −35.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −1.68 | −1.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.71 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 7 | −3.98 | +24.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolverhampton · Home14 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | Aston Villa · Away21 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.45 |
| M3 | Leeds · Home27 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.71 |
| M4 | Arsenal · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −4.34 |
| M5 | Fulham · Home18 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.90 |
| M6 | Liverpool · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −5.26 |
| M7 | Manchester City · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | −5.70 |
| M8 | Chelsea · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −6.23 |
| M9 | West Ham · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −7.46 |
| M10 | West Bromwich Albion · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −8.76 |
| M11 | Leicester · Home6 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −9.74 |
| M12 | Southampton · Away13 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −10.51 |
| M13 | Manchester United · Home17 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −11.11 |
| M14 | Brighton · Away20 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −11.02 |
| M15 | Everton · Home26 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −12.17 |
| M16 | Burnley · Away29 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −13.36 |
| M17 | Crystal Palace · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −14.39 |
| M18 | Newcastle · Home12 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −12.93 |
| M19 | Tottenham · Home17 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −13.80 |
| M20 | Manchester United · Away27 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.57 | −11.23 |
| M21 | Manchester City · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | −11.53 |
| M22 | West Bromwich Albion · Home2 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −10.17 |
| M23 | Chelsea · Home7 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −10.81 |
| M24 | West Ham · Away15 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −11.81 |
| M25 | Fulham · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −12.78 |
| M26 | Liverpool · Home28 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −13.31 |
| M27 | Aston Villa · Home3 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −11.41 |
| M28 | Southampton · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −12.46 |
| M29 | Leicester · Away14 Mar 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.63 | −13.09 |
| M30 | Leeds · Away3 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −13.79 |
| M31 | Arsenal · Home11 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −14.55 |
| M32 | Wolverhampton · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −15.38 |
| M33 | Brighton · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | −13.08 |
| M34 | Tottenham · Away2 May 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.47 | −13.55 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Home8 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −14.83 |
| M36 | Everton · Away16 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.49 | −12.33 |
| M37 | Newcastle · Away19 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −13.26 |
| M38 | Burnley · Home23 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −11.57 |
| Total | 23 | −11.57 | |||