Points
43Points expected by the market
46.57Gap
−3.57Yield
−19.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 22 | +6.28 | +50.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 15 | −6.86 | −35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 6 | −3.00 | −50.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 19 | +6.60 | +63.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 3 | −5.72 | −56.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.79 | +20.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.31 | +5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.13 | −20.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −3.78 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crystal Palace · Away12 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.47 |
| M2 | Tottenham · Home20 Sep 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.61 |
| M3 | Burnley · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.17 |
| M4 | West Bromwich Albion · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.03 |
| M5 | Chelsea · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.28 |
| M6 | Everton · Home25 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.06 |
| M7 | Aston Villa · Away1 Nov 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.72 |
| M8 | Newcastle · Home6 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.11 |
| M9 | Wolverhampton · Away23 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +4.94 |
| M10 | Manchester United · Home29 Nov 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +3.93 |
| M11 | Brighton · Away7 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +5.68 |
| M12 | Sheffield United · Home13 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +6.68 |
| M13 | Arsenal · Away16 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +6.56 |
| M14 | Manchester City · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | +5.87 |
| M15 | Fulham · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | +5.45 |
| M16 | West Ham · Home29 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +4.76 |
| M17 | Liverpool · Home4 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.32 | +7.08 |
| M18 | Leicester · Away16 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +6.27 |
| M19 | Arsenal · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | +5.18 |
| M20 | Aston Villa · Home30 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +4.02 |
| M21 | Manchester United · Away2 Feb 2021 | L 0-9 | 0 | −0.61 | +3.41 |
| M22 | Newcastle · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.57 | +1.84 |
| M23 | Wolverhampton · Home14 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.25 |
| M24 | Chelsea · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.38 |
| M25 | Leeds · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.76 |
| M26 | Everton · Away1 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.86 |
| M27 | Sheffield United · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.52 |
| M28 | Manchester City · Away10 Mar 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.31 | −0.83 |
| M29 | Brighton · Home14 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.02 |
| M30 | Burnley · Home4 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.73 |
| M31 | West Bromwich Albion · Away12 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −2.39 |
| M32 | Tottenham · Away21 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.33 |
| M33 | Leicester · Home30 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.29 |
| M34 | Liverpool · Away8 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −3.76 |
| M35 | Crystal Palace · Home11 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −2.55 |
| M36 | Fulham · Home15 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −1.35 |
| M37 | Leeds · Home18 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.69 |
| M38 | West Ham · Away23 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.57 |
| Total | 43 | −3.57 | |||