Points
62Points expected by the market
62.46Gap
−0.46Yield
+0.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 10 | +1.01 | +5.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 36 | −1.32 | −12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −2.67 | −23.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +2.52 | +47.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.15 | −9.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 23 | +0.10 | +0.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.25 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.01 | +37.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.86 | +49.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −1.42 | −32.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −1.42 | −7.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.51 | +53.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Everton · Home13 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.67 |
| M2 | Southampton · Away20 Sep 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.43 | −0.24 |
| M3 | Newcastle · Home27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | −1.47 |
| M4 | Manchester United · Away4 Oct 2020 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +0.44 |
| M5 | West Ham · Home18 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.00 | −0.56 |
| M6 | Burnley · Away26 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.39 |
| M7 | Brighton · Home1 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +1.35 |
| M8 | West Bromwich Albion · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +2.22 |
| M9 | Manchester City · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +4.29 |
| M10 | Chelsea · Away29 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +4.25 |
| M11 | Arsenal · Home6 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.66 |
| M12 | Crystal Palace · Away13 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +4.85 |
| M13 | Liverpool · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.92 |
| M14 | Leicester · Home20 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +2.27 |
| M15 | Wolverhampton · Away27 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +1.66 |
| M16 | Leeds · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.87 |
| M17 | Fulham · Home13 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +1.85 |
| M18 | Sheffield United · Away17 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.98 |
| M19 | Liverpool · Home28 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.92 |
| M20 | Brighton · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.39 |
| M21 | Chelsea · Home4 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.61 |
| M22 | West Bromwich Albion · Home7 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +0.12 |
| M23 | Manchester City · Away13 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −0.39 |
| M24 | West Ham · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.87 |
| M25 | Burnley · Home28 Feb 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −1.01 |
| M26 | Fulham · Away4 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.28 |
| M27 | Crystal Palace · Home7 Mar 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +1.18 |
| M28 | Arsenal · Away14 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −0.15 |
| M29 | Aston Villa · Away21 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.35 |
| M30 | Newcastle · Away4 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +0.39 |
| M31 | Manchester United · Home11 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.87 |
| M32 | Everton · Away16 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.49 |
| M33 | Southampton · Home21 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −0.29 |
| M34 | Sheffield United · Home2 May 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +0.35 |
| M35 | Leeds · Away8 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −1.45 |
| M36 | Wolverhampton · Home16 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −0.53 |
| M37 | Aston Villa · Home19 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −2.54 |
| M38 | Leicester · Away23 May 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.07 | −0.46 |
| Total | 62 | −0.46 | |||