Points
26Points expected by the market
32.64Gap
−6.64Yield
−24.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −5.80 | −70.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 29 | 20 | −0.84 | −10.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −2.19 | −56.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −0.78 | −38.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.61 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −0.06 | +12.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leicester · Home13 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.16 |
| M2 | Everton · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.87 |
| M3 | Chelsea · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.37 | −1.49 |
| M4 | Southampton · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.43 |
| M5 | Burnley · Home19 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −2.84 |
| M6 | Brighton · Away26 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.64 |
| M7 | Fulham · Away2 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.86 |
| M8 | Tottenham · Home8 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | −4.52 |
| M9 | Manchester United · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.48 | −5.00 |
| M10 | Sheffield United · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.40 |
| M11 | Crystal Palace · Home6 Dec 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.65 |
| M12 | Newcastle · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −5.88 |
| M13 | Manchester City · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.80 | −5.08 |
| M14 | Aston Villa · Home20 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.94 |
| M15 | Liverpool · Away27 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.76 | −5.18 |
| M16 | Leeds · Home29 Dec 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.92 | −6.11 |
| M17 | Arsenal · Home2 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.72 | −6.83 |
| M18 | Wolverhampton · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.27 | −4.56 |
| M19 | West Ham · Away19 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −5.23 |
| M20 | Manchester City · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.26 | −5.49 |
| M21 | Fulham · Home30 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −5.60 |
| M22 | Sheffield United · Away2 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −6.67 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Away7 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −7.21 |
| M24 | Manchester United · Home14 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.54 | −6.67 |
| M25 | Burnley · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −6.75 |
| M26 | Brighton · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.09 | −4.66 |
| M27 | Everton · Home4 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.67 |
| M28 | Newcastle · Home7 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −6.21 |
| M29 | Crystal Palace · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −7.37 |
| M30 | Chelsea · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +2.59 | −4.78 |
| M31 | Southampton · Home12 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −2.86 |
| M32 | Leicester · Away22 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.61 |
| M33 | Aston Villa · Away25 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −3.68 |
| M34 | Wolverhampton · Home3 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −4.12 |
| M35 | Arsenal · Away9 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −4.76 |
| M36 | Liverpool · Home16 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −5.13 |
| M37 | West Ham · Home19 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −5.92 |
| M38 | Leeds · Away23 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −6.64 |
| Total | 26 | −6.64 | |||