Points
65Points expected by the market
49.69Gap
+15.31Yield
+26.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +2.70 | +6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 35 | +14.04 | +94.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −1.43 | −57.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.69 | +12.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +5.53 | +57.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.42 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.01 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 18 | +8.51 | +142.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.01 | −47.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newcastle · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −1.70 |
| M2 | Arsenal · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −2.36 |
| M3 | Wolverhampton · Home27 Sep 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −0.51 |
| M4 | Leicester · Away4 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +1.56 |
| M5 | Tottenham · Away18 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.23 | +1.79 |
| M6 | Manchester City · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | +2.17 |
| M7 | Liverpool · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | +1.57 |
| M8 | Fulham · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.76 |
| M9 | Sheffield United · Away22 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.29 |
| M10 | Aston Villa · Home30 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.79 |
| M11 | Manchester United · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +4.66 |
| M12 | Leeds · Away11 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +6.51 |
| M13 | Crystal Palace · Home16 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +5.91 |
| M14 | Chelsea · Away21 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | +5.17 |
| M15 | Brighton · Home27 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | +4.66 |
| M16 | Southampton · Away29 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +4.62 |
| M17 | Everton · Away1 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +6.46 |
| M18 | Burnley · Home16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +7.57 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Home19 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +8.47 |
| M20 | Crystal Palace · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +9.86 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Home31 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +8.77 |
| M22 | Aston Villa · Away3 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +10.54 |
| M23 | Fulham · Away6 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +9.77 |
| M24 | Sheffield United · Home15 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +11.06 |
| M25 | Tottenham · Home21 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +12.83 |
| M26 | Manchester City · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | +12.41 |
| M27 | Leeds · Home8 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +13.87 |
| M28 | Manchester United · Away14 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +13.00 |
| M29 | Arsenal · Home21 Mar 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.10 | +12.91 |
| M30 | Wolverhampton · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +14.51 |
| M31 | Leicester · Home11 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +16.31 |
| M32 | Newcastle · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +14.71 |
| M33 | Chelsea · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | +13.92 |
| M34 | Burnley · Away3 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +15.42 |
| M35 | Everton · Home9 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +13.80 |
| M36 | Brighton · Away15 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +13.17 |
| M37 | West Bromwich Albion · Away19 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +14.18 |
| M38 | Southampton · Home23 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +15.31 |
| Total | 65 | +15.31 | |||