Points
45Points expected by the market
47.56Gap
−2.56Yield
−3.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.66 | +13.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 21 | −6.70 | −28.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 14 | +3.48 | +29.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.66 | +13.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 5 | −6.43 | −71.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.61 | +115.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.26 | −0.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.13 | −45.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sheffield United · Away14 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.56 |
| M2 | Manchester City · Home21 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | +0.93 |
| M3 | West Ham · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.63 |
| M4 | Fulham · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.49 |
| M5 | Leeds · Away19 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.22 |
| M6 | Newcastle · Home25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | +1.37 |
| M7 | Crystal Palace · Home30 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.67 |
| M8 | Leicester · Away8 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.50 |
| M9 | Southampton · Home23 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.97 |
| M10 | Arsenal · Away29 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +2.93 |
| M11 | Liverpool · Away6 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.74 | +2.19 |
| M12 | Aston Villa · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.78 |
| M13 | Chelsea · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | +2.99 |
| M14 | Burnley · Away21 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.45 |
| M15 | Tottenham · Home27 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.35 |
| M16 | Manchester United · Away29 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | +0.66 |
| M17 | Brighton · Away2 Jan 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.31 |
| M18 | Everton · Home12 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.12 |
| M19 | West Bromwich Albion · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.01 | −3.14 |
| M20 | Chelsea · Away27 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −2.89 |
| M21 | Crystal Palace · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.29 |
| M22 | Arsenal · Home2 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −2.38 |
| M23 | Leicester · Home7 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.54 |
| M24 | Southampton · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.66 |
| M25 | Leeds · Home19 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.81 |
| M26 | Newcastle · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.21 |
| M27 | Manchester City · Away2 Mar 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.14 |
| M28 | Aston Villa · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.43 |
| M29 | Liverpool · Home15 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.18 |
| M30 | West Ham · Home5 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.48 |
| M31 | Fulham · Away9 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.77 |
| M32 | Sheffield United · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.34 |
| M33 | Burnley · Home25 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.20 |
| M34 | West Bromwich Albion · Away3 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.45 |
| M35 | Brighton · Home9 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +0.53 |
| M36 | Tottenham · Away16 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −0.16 |
| M37 | Everton · Away19 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.03 |
| M38 | Manchester United · Home23 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.56 |
| Total | 45 | −2.56 | |||