Points
69Points expected by the market
63.72Gap
+5.28Yield
+11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 13 | +1.64 | +12.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 40 | +2.27 | +12.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +4.34 | +61.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.96 | −37.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 13 | +1.64 | +12.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 25 | +5.68 | +41.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +120.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −3.41 | −15.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +2.93 | +49.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.19 | +8.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brentford · Away13 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.67 |
| M2 | Chelsea · Home22 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.58 |
| M3 | Manchester City · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.48 | −3.06 |
| M4 | Norwich · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −2.29 |
| M5 | Burnley · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −0.99 |
| M6 | Tottenham · Home26 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.41 |
| M7 | Brighton · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.11 |
| M8 | Crystal Palace · Home18 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.03 | −1.14 |
| M9 | Aston Villa · Home22 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.14 |
| M10 | Leicester · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.84 |
| M11 | Watford · Home7 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +2.64 |
| M12 | Liverpool · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | +1.95 |
| M13 | Newcastle · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.83 |
| M14 | Manchester United · Away2 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.75 |
| M15 | Everton · Away6 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.15 |
| M16 | Southampton · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.25 |
| M17 | West Ham · Home15 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.59 |
| M18 | Leeds · Away18 Dec 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.53 |
| M19 | Norwich · Away26 Dec 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +4.41 |
| M20 | Manchester City · Home1 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +3.63 |
| M21 | Burnley · Home23 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.39 | +2.24 |
| M22 | Wolverhampton · Away10 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.63 |
| M23 | Brentford · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +4.51 |
| M24 | Wolverhampton · Home24 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +5.52 |
| M25 | Watford · Away6 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.89 | +6.41 |
| M26 | Leicester · Home13 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +7.19 |
| M27 | Liverpool · Home16 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +6.12 |
| M28 | Aston Villa · Away19 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +7.66 |
| M29 | Crystal Palace · Away4 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.72 | +5.95 |
| M30 | Brighton · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | +3.94 |
| M31 | Southampton · Away16 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +2.18 |
| M32 | Chelsea · Away20 Apr 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.06 | +4.24 |
| M33 | Manchester United · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +5.56 |
| M34 | West Ham · Away1 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +6.72 |
| M35 | Leeds · Home8 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +7.61 |
| M36 | Tottenham · Away12 May 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +6.43 |
| M37 | Newcastle · Away16 May 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.82 | +4.61 |
| M38 | Everton · Home22 May 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +5.28 |
| Total | 69 | +5.28 | |||