Points
45Points expected by the market
49.57Gap
−4.57Yield
−3.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.76 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.65 | −31.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 23 | −0.61 | +5.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −2.07 | +3.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.76 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −4.00 | −49.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.39 | −0.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −1.00 | +8.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | +0.01 | +41.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Watford · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.59 |
| M2 | Newcastle · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −0.41 |
| M3 | Brentford · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.08 |
| M4 | Chelsea · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −1.56 |
| M5 | Everton · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −0.17 |
| M6 | Manchester United · Away25 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.44 | +2.27 |
| M7 | Tottenham · Away3 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.20 |
| M8 | Wolverhampton · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.45 |
| M9 | Arsenal · Away22 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.46 |
| M10 | West Ham · Home31 Oct 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.71 |
| M11 | Southampton · Away5 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −3.78 |
| M12 | Brighton · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.24 |
| M13 | Crystal Palace · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.40 |
| M14 | Manchester City · Home1 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.00 |
| M15 | Leicester · Home5 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.44 |
| M16 | Liverpool · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.39 | +0.05 |
| M17 | Norwich · Away14 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.41 |
| M18 | Chelsea · Home26 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.59 |
| M19 | Brentford · Away2 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.80 |
| M20 | Manchester United · Home15 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.21 |
| M21 | Everton · Away22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.41 |
| M22 | Leeds · Home9 Feb 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.34 |
| M23 | Newcastle · Away13 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.74 |
| M24 | Watford · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | −3.73 |
| M25 | Brighton · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −1.84 |
| M26 | Southampton · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.40 |
| M27 | Leeds · Away10 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.15 |
| M28 | West Ham · Away13 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.12 |
| M29 | Arsenal · Home19 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.37 |
| M30 | Wolverhampton · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.80 |
| M31 | Tottenham · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.94 |
| M32 | Leicester · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −4.40 |
| M33 | Norwich · Home30 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −3.63 |
| M34 | Burnley · Away7 May 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −2.09 |
| M35 | Liverpool · Home10 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.76 |
| M36 | Crystal Palace · Home15 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −3.57 |
| M37 | Burnley · Home19 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −4.27 |
| M38 | Manchester City · Away22 May 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.30 | −4.57 |
| Total | 45 | −4.57 | |||