Points
46Points expected by the market
41.71Gap
+4.29Yield
+22.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.70 | +40.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | +0.13 | +2.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 19 | +3.46 | +35.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.70 | +40.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −1.08 | +3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.59 | −35.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.21 | −0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 14 | +2.87 | +65.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arsenal · Home13 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.96 |
| M2 | Crystal Palace · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +1.66 |
| M3 | Aston Villa · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.63 |
| M4 | Brighton · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +0.35 |
| M5 | Wolverhampton · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +2.50 |
| M6 | Liverpool · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.42 | +2.92 |
| M7 | West Ham · Away3 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | +5.06 |
| M8 | Chelsea · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | +4.30 |
| M9 | Leicester · Home24 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +2.98 |
| M10 | Burnley · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.67 |
| M11 | Norwich · Home6 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −0.32 |
| M12 | Newcastle · Away20 Nov 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.59 |
| M13 | Everton · Home28 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.83 |
| M14 | Tottenham · Away2 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.05 |
| M15 | Leeds · Away5 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.17 |
| M16 | Watford · Home10 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.73 |
| M17 | Brighton · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.78 |
| M18 | Manchester City · Home29 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | +0.48 |
| M19 | Aston Villa · Home2 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.18 |
| M20 | Southampton · Away11 Jan 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.08 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Away16 Jan 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | +0.66 |
| M22 | Manchester United · Home19 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.23 |
| M23 | Wolverhampton · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.71 |
| M24 | Manchester City · Away9 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.18 | −1.89 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.19 |
| M26 | Arsenal · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.83 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.35 |
| M28 | Norwich · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.82 |
| M29 | Burnley · Home12 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −1.48 |
| M30 | Leicester · Away20 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.57 |
| M31 | Chelsea · Away2 Apr 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.48 | −0.09 |
| M32 | West Ham · Home10 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.54 |
| M33 | Watford · Away16 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.09 |
| M34 | Tottenham · Home23 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +3.25 |
| M35 | Manchester United · Away2 May 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.37 |
| M36 | Southampton · Home7 May 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.73 |
| M37 | Everton · Away15 May 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.05 | +5.78 |
| M38 | Leeds · Home22 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +4.29 |
| Total | 46 | +4.29 | |||