Points
51Points expected by the market
49.38Gap
+1.62Yield
−1.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.84 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 26 | +4.17 | +18.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | +2.45 | +13.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −4.44 | −53.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.62 | +36.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.60 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.55 | +7.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +4.47 | +79.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Burnley · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.53 |
| M2 | Watford · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.60 |
| M3 | Everton · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.05 |
| M4 | Brentford · Away11 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.65 |
| M5 | Leicester · Home19 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.20 |
| M6 | Crystal Palace · Away27 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +3.82 |
| M7 | Arsenal · Home2 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +3.64 |
| M8 | Norwich · Away16 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +2.90 |
| M9 | Manchester City · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.56 | +2.35 |
| M10 | Liverpool · Away30 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.57 | +2.91 |
| M11 | Newcastle · Home6 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +1.87 |
| M12 | Aston Villa · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.61 |
| M13 | Leeds · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | +0.01 |
| M14 | West Ham · Away1 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.03 |
| M15 | Southampton · Away4 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.24 |
| M16 | Wolverhampton · Home15 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −1.94 |
| M17 | Brentford · Home26 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.70 |
| M18 | Chelsea · Away29 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.53 | −0.18 |
| M19 | Everton · Away2 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.45 |
| M20 | Crystal Palace · Home14 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +0.75 |
| M21 | Chelsea · Home18 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.98 |
| M22 | Leicester · Away23 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.65 |
| M23 | Watford · Away12 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.99 |
| M24 | Manchester United · Away15 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.10 |
| M25 | Burnley · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.03 | −0.93 |
| M26 | Aston Villa · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.52 |
| M27 | Newcastle · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.82 |
| M28 | Liverpool · Home12 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −4.45 |
| M29 | Tottenham · Home16 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.52 |
| M30 | Norwich · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | −6.68 |
| M31 | Arsenal · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | −4.42 |
| M32 | Tottenham · Away16 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.34 | −2.08 |
| M33 | Manchester City · Away20 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −2.43 |
| M34 | Southampton · Home24 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.10 |
| M35 | Wolverhampton · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.41 |
| M36 | Manchester United · Home7 May 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.34 |
| M37 | Leeds · Away15 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.02 |
| M38 | West Ham · Home22 May 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.62 |
| Total | 51 | +1.62 | |||