Points
35Points expected by the market
37.38Gap
−2.38Yield
−36.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.46 | −5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 15 | −0.57 | −50.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +0.57 | −5.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | +0.08 | −22.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.03 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −0.64 | −61.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brighton · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.22 |
| M2 | Liverpool · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −1.60 |
| M3 | Leeds · Home29 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −1.75 |
| M4 | Everton · Away13 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.58 |
| M5 | Arsenal · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.61 |
| M6 | Leicester · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | −3.40 |
| M7 | Norwich · Home2 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −4.14 |
| M8 | Manchester City · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.26 | −4.40 |
| M9 | Southampton · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −4.40 |
| M10 | Brentford · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −2.80 |
| M11 | Chelsea · Away6 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.60 | −2.20 |
| M12 | Crystal Palace · Home20 Nov 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.51 |
| M13 | Wolverhampton · Away1 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −2.45 |
| M14 | Newcastle · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.67 |
| M15 | West Ham · Home12 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.79 |
| M16 | Manchester United · Away30 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −4.30 |
| M17 | Leeds · Away2 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −5.36 |
| M18 | Arsenal · Away23 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.56 | −4.79 |
| M19 | Watford · Home5 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −5.40 |
| M20 | Manchester United · Home8 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −5.10 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Home13 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | −5.46 |
| M22 | Brighton · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.28 | −3.18 |
| M23 | Tottenham · Home23 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | −1.07 |
| M24 | Crystal Palace · Away26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.98 |
| M25 | Leicester · Home1 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.27 |
| M26 | Chelsea · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.63 | −2.89 |
| M27 | Brentford · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.94 |
| M28 | Manchester City · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −4.25 |
| M29 | Everton · Home6 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.69 |
| M30 | Norwich · Away10 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.20 |
| M31 | West Ham · Away17 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −4.09 |
| M32 | Southampton · Home21 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.46 |
| M33 | Wolverhampton · Home24 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.90 |
| M34 | Watford · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.80 |
| M35 | Aston Villa · Home7 May 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.43 |
| M36 | Tottenham · Away15 May 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.46 | −0.89 |
| M37 | Aston Villa · Away19 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.92 |
| M38 | Newcastle · Home22 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.38 |
| Total | 35 | −2.38 | |||