Points
74Points expected by the market
76.87Gap
−2.87Yield
−14.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 38 | −1.94 | −13.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 34 | +1.76 | +3.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −1.92 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 29 | −4.07 | −24.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.78 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.13 | +37.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 30 | +3.53 | +13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.23 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crystal Palace · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +0.64 |
| M2 | Arsenal · Away22 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.83 |
| M3 | Liverpool · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.60 |
| M4 | Aston Villa · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +2.26 |
| M5 | Tottenham · Away19 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.51 |
| M6 | Manchester City · Home25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.21 |
| M7 | Southampton · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.98 |
| M8 | Brentford · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.00 |
| M9 | Norwich · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +4.49 |
| M10 | Newcastle · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +5.28 |
| M11 | Burnley · Home6 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.43 | +3.85 |
| M12 | Leicester · Away20 Nov 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.95 |
| M13 | Manchester United · Home28 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | +3.87 |
| M14 | Watford · Away1 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +4.53 |
| M15 | West Ham · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.87 | +2.65 |
| M16 | Leeds · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.52 | +3.17 |
| M17 | Everton · Home16 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.54 | +1.63 |
| M18 | Wolverhampton · Away19 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | +0.73 |
| M19 | Aston Villa · Away26 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.80 |
| M20 | Brighton · Home29 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.34 | +0.46 |
| M21 | Liverpool · Home2 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.08 |
| M22 | Manchester City · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.70 |
| M23 | Brighton · Away18 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −1.68 |
| M24 | Tottenham · Home23 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −0.59 |
| M25 | Crystal Palace · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.44 |
| M26 | Burnley · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +1.30 |
| M27 | Norwich · Away10 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.99 |
| M28 | Newcastle · Home13 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +2.74 |
| M29 | Brentford · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −2.27 | +0.47 |
| M30 | Southampton · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.75 |
| M31 | Arsenal · Home20 Apr 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.78 | −0.03 |
| M32 | West Ham · Home24 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.74 |
| M33 | Manchester United · Away28 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +0.09 |
| M34 | Everton · Away1 May 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | −1.84 |
| M35 | Wolverhampton · Home7 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.30 | −3.14 |
| M36 | Leeds · Away11 May 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −2.08 |
| M37 | Leicester · Home19 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | −3.31 |
| M38 | Watford · Home22 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.44 | −2.87 |
| Total | 74 | −2.87 | |||